| Overall | 9W 7L 1T |
| District | 3W 4L 1T |
| Expected | 13: 3+ 1- |
":" = Games won or lost as expected,
"+" = Games won against stronger team,
"-" = Games lost against weaker team)
|
21 14 4 Rank in State, Class, District |
1096 -72 Strength Momentum |
1156 51.4(32) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) | |
| Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/25/15 | Volcano Vista | 1251 | -1 | --- | 29% |  | ||
| 08/27/15 | at Highland | 0.000 | 917 | W 3- 1 | Expected (0) | 1116 | 74% | |
| 08/29/15 | at Albuquerque | 0.000 | 1422 | L 0- 3 | Expected (0) | 1118 | 9% | |
| 09/02/15 | at Cleveland | 0.001 | 1236 | L 2- 3 | Expected (+1) | 1126 | 25% | |
| 09/04/15 | at Manzano | 0.002 | 915 | W 1- 0 | Expected (-1) | 1065 | 75% | |
| 09/08/15 | at Manzano | 0.003 | 915 | W 3- 2 | Expected (-1) | 1065 | 75% | |
| 09/11/15 | Piedra Vista | 0.001 | 801 | W 8- 0 | Expected (+5) | 1349 | 89% | |
| 09/15/15 | Cleveland !! | 0.012 | 1236 | W 3- 2 | Better (+2) | 1206 | 30% | |
| 09/18/15 | Gadsden | 0.018 | 1013 | W 3- 1 | Expected (+1) | 1145 | 66% | |
| 09/19/15 | Onate ?? | 0.022 | 859 | L 1- 2 | Worse (-4) | 918 | 84% | |
| 09/23/15 | at West Mesa ! | 0.039 | 1156 | W 4- 3 | Better (+2) | 1185 | 37% | |
| 09/26/15 | Atrisco Heritage ? | 0.038 | 1350 | L 0- 4 | Expected (-2) | 1012 | 17% | |
| 09/30/15 | at Albuquerque | 0.073 | 1422 | L 0- 4 | Expected (-1) | 1067 | 9% | |
| 10/07/15 | at Rio Grande | 0.076 | 943 | W 7- 1 | Expected (+5) | 1333 | 71% | |
| 10/10/15 | West Mesa | 0.291 | 1156 | T 2- 2 | Better (0) | 1116 | 43% | |
| 10/14/15 | at Atrisco Heritage | 0.285 | 1350 | L 0- 4 | Expected (-1) | 1031 | 13% | |
| 10/17/15 | Albuquerque | 0.302 | 1422 | L 0- 4 | Expected (-1) | 1048 | 11% | |
| 10/23/15 | Rio Grande | 0.654 | 943 | W 2- 0 | Expected (0) | 1110 | 76% | |
|
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Valley actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 1156, while
Valley's "weighted playing strength" is 1094
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.65 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/17/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 11/07/15)
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