2015 Season results for Socorro (BV,3-4A)

31   7   2
Rank in
State, Class, District
1040     48
Strength     Momentum
890   51.2(34)
SOS,       RPI(RPI Rank)

Season Records:
Overall  15W   3L   1T 
District  3W   0L   1T 
Expected  15:   1+   3- 
("W L T" = Win Loss Tie,
":" = Games won or lost as expected,
"+" = Games won against stronger team,
"-" = Games lost against weaker team)

DateOpponent1 RGWF4 Opp
Strength
ResultExpectation2Playing
Strength
P(Win)3Send
EMail
08/18/15 at East Mountain 0.000890W 6- 0 Expected (+5)1279 71%
08/20/15 at Belen ?? 0.000593L 1- 2 Worse (-5) 776 95%
08/24/15 Pojoaque 0.000848W 4- 1 Expected (+1)1085 81%
08/25/15 at Valencia 0.0001075L 2- 6 Expected (-3) 866 40%
08/29/15 at Grants 0.000588W 6- 2 Expected (0)1025 94%
08/31/15 East Mountain 0.000890W 7- 1 Expected (+4)1259 76%
09/05/15 Robertson 0.001872W 6- 2 Expected (+2)1148 78%
09/12/15 at Robertson 0.005872W 3- 0 Expected (+2)1116 73%
09/14/15 at Pojoaque 0.010848W 2- 1 Expected (-1)1004 77%
09/22/15 Grants 0.008588W 9- 1 Expected (+3)1214 95%
09/28/15 Ruidoso ! 0.057950W 4- 0 Expected (+3)1187 68%
10/01/15 at Rehoboth Christian 0.1001003W 2- 0 Expected (+2)1131 53%
10/06/15 Silver 0.166870W 3- 0 Expected (+1)1096 78%
10/08/15 at Silver 0.180870W 3- 0 Expected (+1)1115 74%
10/13/15 Hatch 0.3731052T 3- 3 Worse (0)1037 51%
10/15/15 at Ruidoso 0.415950W 2- 1 Expected (0)1055 62%
10/17/15 St. Michael's 0.495904W 1- 0 Expected (-1)1012 75%
10/22/15 at Hatch !! 0.5771052W 3- 1 Better (+2)1156 44%
11/05/15 * Hatch ? 0.9461052L 0- 1 Worse (-1) 987 48%
      Notes:
      1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game
         Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Socorro actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted
      2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin
      3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference
      4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game
      * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage

The median opponent strength is 890, while
Socorro's "weighted playing strength" is 1055
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.65 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/17/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 11/07/15)

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