Strength
Strength
|
69 22 6 Rank in State, Class, District |
393 -196 Strength Momentum |
698 31.8(69) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) |
| Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/22/15 | at East Mountain | 0.001 | 1024 | L 0- 6 | Expected (+1) | 420 | 1% | |
| 08/25/15 | at Moriarty | 0.003 | 702 | L 0- 4 | Expected (-1) | 362 | 12% | |
| 08/27/15 | Hatch | 0.005 | 782 | L 2- 3 | Expected (+3) | 521 | 10% | |
| 09/01/15 | Pojoaque | 0.011 | 689 | L 0- 1 | Expected (+2) | 475 | 18% | |
| 09/05/15 | at West Las Vegas | L 3- 4 | --- | --- | --- | | ||
| 09/08/15 | at Santa Fe Indian | 0.036 | 686 | L 1- 2 | Expected (+2) | 506 | 13% | |
| 09/11/15 | Robertson | 0.047 | 717 | L 1- 3 | Expected (+1) | 439 | 16% | |
| 09/12/15 | Rehoboth Christian | 0.047 | 802 | L 0- 3 | Expected (+1) | 431 | 9% | |
| 09/12/15 | Navajo Prep | 0.062 | 506 | T 1- 1 | Better (+1) | 433 | 39% | |
| 09/21/15 | at Desert Academy !! | 0.155 | 564 | W 3- 1 | Better (+4) | 595 | 24% | |
| 10/05/15 | at St. Michael's | 0.078 | 1182 | L 0-10 | Expected (-2) | 283 | 0% | |
| 10/06/15 | at Santa Fe Prep ? | 0.464 | 654 | L 0- 4 | Expected (-1) | 338 | 15% | |
| 10/08/15 | at Monte del Sol | 0.641 | 698 | L 0- 2 | Expected (+1) | 461 | 12% | |
| 10/13/15 | St. Michael's | 0.065 | 1182 | L 0-10 | Expected (-3) | 252 | 0% | |
| 10/15/15 | Desert Academy | 0.830 | 564 | L 1- 2 | Expected (0) | 413 | 32% | |
| 10/19/15 | Monte del Sol | 0.595 | 698 | L 1- 5 | Expected (-1) | 328 | 17% | |
| 10/20/15 | Santa Fe Indian | 0.836 | 686 | L 1- 3 | Expected (+1) | 424 | 18% | |
| 10/22/15 | Santa Fe Prep ?? | 0.615 | 654 | L 1- 5 | Expected (-2) | 306 | 21% | |
|
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals ATC actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 698, while
ATC's "weighted playing strength" is 391
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.70 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/03/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 10/24/15)
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