| Overall | 5W 13L 1T |
| District | 0W 4L 0T |
| Expected | 14: 2+ 3- |
":" = Games won or lost as expected,
"+" = Games won against stronger team,
"-" = Games lost against weaker team)
|
56 13 3 Rank in State, Class, District |
782 144 Strength Momentum |
895 41.1(55) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) | |
| Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/21/15 | Monte del Sol | 0.002 | 698 | T 3- 3 | Worse (-1) | 724 | 66% |  |
| 08/22/15 | Socorro | 0.000 | 1287 | L 0-10 | Expected (-5) | 498 | 5% | |
| 08/22/15 | Grants ? | 0.000 | 797 | L 0-10 | Worse (-10) | 253 | 52% | |
| 08/27/15 | at ATC | 0.005 | 393 | W 3- 2 | Expected (-3) | 653 | 90% | |
| 09/03/15 | Chaparral !! | 0.017 | 1082 | W 4- 3 | Better (+4) | 966 | 20% | |
| 09/10/15 | at Chaparral | 0.046 | 1082 | L 4- 6 | Expected (+1) | 848 | 15% | |
| 09/15/15 | Monte del Sol ?? | 0.078 | 698 | L 1- 3 | Worse (-3) | 624 | 66% | |
| 09/17/15 | East Mountain | 0.072 | 1024 | L 0- 4 | Expected (-2) | 686 | 23% | |
| 09/19/15 | at Desert Academy | 0.125 | 564 | W 6- 4 | Expected (0) | 789 | 74% | |
| 09/22/15 | at Ruidoso | 0.176 | 827 | L 2- 5 | Expected (-2) | 670 | 40% | |
| 09/24/15 | Deming | 0.229 | 915 | L 1- 2 | Expected (0) | 782 | 37% | |
| 09/25/15 | at Capital ! | 0.229 | 947 | W 3- 1 | Better (+4) | 980 | 25% | |
| 09/29/15 | at East Mountain | 0.243 | 1024 | L 0- 5 | Expected (-2) | 666 | 17% | |
| 10/01/15 | Desert Academy | 0.336 | 564 | W 5- 1 | Expected (+2) | 858 | 81% | |
| 10/08/15 | Ruidoso | 0.631 | 827 | L 2- 3 | Expected (-1) | 738 | 48% | |
| 10/13/15 | at Socorro | 0.114 | 1287 | L 0-10 | Expected (-5) | 530 | 3% | |
| 10/15/15 | Silver | 0.830 | 895 | L 1- 2 | Expected (0) | 772 | 39% | |
| 10/22/15 | Socorro | 0.124 | 1287 | L 0- 9 | Expected (-4) | 554 | 5% | |
| 10/23/15 | at Silver | 0.995 | 895 | L 0- 1 | Expected (0) | 804 | 31% | |
|
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Hatch actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 895, while
Hatch's "weighted playing strength" is 768
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.70 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/03/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 10/24/15)
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