| Overall | 4W 15L 0T |
| District | 2W 8L 0T |
| Expected | 10: 1+ 7- |
":" = Games won or lost as expected,
"+" = Games won against stronger team,
"-" = Games lost against weaker team)
|
29 11 6 Rank in State, Class, District |
1082 245 Strength Momentum |
1080 36.5(66) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) | |
| Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/18/15 | Deming ? | 0.001 | 915 | L 1- 4 | Worse (-5) | 832 | 73% |  |
| 08/22/15 | at Alamogordo | 0.000 | 1003 | L 0- 9 | Worse (-9) | 594 | 55% | |
| 08/25/15 | Silver | 0.003 | 895 | L 0- 2 | Worse (-4) | 872 | 75% | |
| 08/29/15 | Loretto | W 10- 0 | --- | --- | --- | | ||
| 09/03/15 | at Hatch | 0.017 | 782 | L 3- 4 | Worse (-4) | 898 | 80% | |
| 09/08/15 | Gadsden ?? | 0.027 | 872 | L 0- 3 | Worse (-5) | 811 | 77% | |
| 09/10/15 | Hatch | 0.046 | 782 | W 6- 4 | Expected (-1) | 1016 | 85% | |
| 09/15/15 | at Deming | 0.088 | 915 | L 1- 3 | Worse (-3) | 914 | 66% | |
| 09/17/15 | at Silver | 0.116 | 895 | L 0- 1 | Worse (-3) | 954 | 68% | |
| 09/22/15 | at Valencia | 0.028 | 1206 | L 0-10 | Expected (-8) | 640 | 33% | |
| 09/26/15 | Centennial | 0.143 | 1292 | L 0- 5 | Expected (-3) | 919 | 30% | |
| 09/29/15 | at Santa Teresa | 0.243 | 1080 | L 0- 5 | Expected (-5) | 845 | 46% | |
| 10/03/15 | at Los Lunas | 0.069 | 1217 | L 0-10 | Expected (-8) | 646 | 32% | |
| 10/06/15 | at Belen | 0.529 | 1170 | L 0- 3 | Expected (-2) | 992 | 36% | |
| 10/10/15 | Valencia | 0.547 | 1206 | L 0- 3 | Expected (-2) | 978 | 40% | |
| 10/13/15 | at Centennial | 0.431 | 1292 | L 0- 6 | Expected (-4) | 899 | 24% | |
| 10/17/15 | Santa Teresa ! | 0.923 | 1080 | W 1- 0 | Expected (+1) | 1115 | 54% | |
| 10/22/15 | Los Lunas | 0.937 | 1217 | L 1- 2 | Expected (0) | 1083 | 38% | |
| 10/24/15 | Belen !! | 0.997 | 1170 | W 1- 0 | Better (+2) | 1160 | 44% | |
|
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Chaparral actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 1080, while
Chaparral's "weighted playing strength" is 1035
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.70 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/03/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 10/24/15)
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