2015 Season results for Gadsden (GV,3-6A)

46   22   5
Rank in
State, Class, District
872     -74
Strength     Momentum
1081   40.3(58)
SOS,       RPI(RPI Rank)

Season Records:
Overall  5W   15L   0T 
District  2W   6L   0T 
Expected  16:   4+   0- 
("W L T" = Win Loss Tie,
":" = Games won or lost as expected,
"+" = Games won against stronger team,
"-" = Games lost against weaker team)
 

DateOpponent1 RGWF4 Opp
Strength
ResultExpectation2Playing
Strength
P(Win)3Send
EMail
08/18/15 Centennial 0.0011292L 0- 3 Expected (+1) 916 12%
08/22/15 at Hobbs 0.0011197L 0- 8 Expected (-4) 641 12%
08/25/15 at Santa Teresa ! 0.0031080W 2- 1 Better (+3)1042 23%
08/28/15 Mayfield 0.0031123L 2- 7 Expected (-3) 729 23%
08/29/15 Santa Teresa 0.0071080L 1- 2 Expected (+1) 910 30%
08/29/15 at Deming 0.007915L 2- 3 Expected (0) 860 40%
09/03/15 Alamogordo 0.0161003L 1- 2 Expected (0) 872 38%
09/08/15 at Chaparral !! 0.0271082W 3- 0 Better (+5)1144 23%
09/10/15 Goddard 0.0361166L 0- 3 Expected (0) 853 19%
09/12/15 Silver 0.041895W 5- 0 Expected (+5)1120 51%
09/18/15 at Valley ? 0.0851023L 1- 6 Expected (-3) 711 27%
09/19/15 at Sandia 0.1281278L 1- 4 Expected (+1) 940 7%
09/22/15 at Deming 0.199915L 1- 2 Expected (0) 860 40%
09/29/15 Mayfield 0.3531123L 3- 4 Expected (+1) 932 23%
10/03/15 Onate 0.498985W 1- 0 Better (+2) 962 39%
10/06/15 Las Cruces 0.4481155L 0- 3 Expected (0) 847 20%
10/08/15 Deming 0.667915W 2- 1 Better (+1) 928 49%
10/17/15 at Mayfield 0.7151123L 2- 6 Expected (-1) 813 17%
10/20/15 at Onate ?? 0.934985L 1- 3 Expected (-1) 844 31%
10/22/15 at Las Cruces 0.8741155L 0- 3 Expected (0) 879 14%
      Notes:
      1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game
         Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Gadsden actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted
      2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin
      3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference
      4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game
      * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage

The median opponent strength is 1081, while
Gadsden's "weighted playing strength" is 880
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.70 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/03/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 10/24/15)

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