27 13 2 Rank in State, Class, District |
1123 59 Strength Momentum |
1155 49.8(32) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) |
Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
08/18/15 | Alamogordo ? | 0.001 | 1003 | L 2- 3 | Worse (-3) | 997 | 70% | |
08/21/15 | at Hobbs | 0.002 | 1197 | T 1- 1 | Better (+1) | 1176 | 37% | |
08/22/15 | at Carlsbad | 0.001 | 1178 | L 0- 5 | Expected (-4) | 914 | 39% | |
08/28/15 | at Gadsden ! | 0.003 | 872 | W 7- 2 | Expected (+3) | 1266 | 77% | |
08/29/15 | Centennial | 0.007 | 1292 | L 0- 1 | Expected (0) | 1142 | 35% | |
08/29/15 | at Las Cruces | 0.006 | 1155 | L 1- 5 | Expected (-3) | 954 | 42% | |
09/10/15 | at Farmington | 0.031 | 1352 | L 0- 5 | Expected (-2) | 1002 | 19% | |
09/11/15 | at Los Alamos | 0.052 | 1191 | L 0- 2 | Expected (-1) | 1073 | 37% | |
09/12/15 | at Centennial | 0.062 | 1292 | L 1- 2 | Expected (+1) | 1174 | 28% | |
09/18/15 | La Cueva | 0.049 | 1338 | L 0- 6 | Expected (-4) | 910 | 28% | |
09/19/15 | Volcano Vista | 0.137 | 1454 | L 0- 1 | Expected (+2) | 1223 | 16% | |
09/24/15 | at Las Cruces | 0.214 | 1155 | L 1- 4 | Expected (-2) | 1005 | 42% | |
09/26/15 | Deming ?? | 0.250 | 915 | L 0- 2 | Worse (-4) | 903 | 79% | |
09/29/15 | at Gadsden | 0.353 | 872 | W 4- 3 | Expected (-1) | 1064 | 77% | |
10/02/15 | Lovington | 0.361 | 629 | W 4- 0 | Expected (-1) | 1061 | 97% | |
10/08/15 | Onate | 0.667 | 985 | W 4- 3 | Expected (-1) | 1088 | 71% | |
10/10/15 | Las Cruces | 0.630 | 1155 | L 0- 2 | Worse (-2) | 1023 | 50% | |
10/13/15 | at Deming !! | 0.616 | 915 | W 4- 1 | Expected (+1) | 1186 | 72% | |
10/17/15 | Gadsden | 0.715 | 872 | W 6- 2 | Expected (+1) | 1183 | 83% | |
10/23/15 | at Onate | 0.856 | 985 | W 2- 0 | Expected (+1) | 1170 | 64% |
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Mayfield actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 1155, while
Mayfield's "weighted playing strength" is 1105
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.70 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/03/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 10/24/15)
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