35 15 4 Rank in State, Class, District |
1003 -155 Strength Momentum |
1103 55.6(24) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) |
Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
08/18/15 | at Mayfield | 0.001 | 1123 | W 3- 2 | Better (+3) | 1129 | 30% | |
08/22/15 | Chaparral !! | 0.000 | 1082 | W 9- 0 | Better (+9) | 1491 | 45% | |
08/25/15 | Centennial | 0.003 | 1292 | W 1- 0 | Better (+4) | 1182 | 22% | |
08/27/15 | at Onate | 0.005 | 985 | T 0- 0 | Better (0) | 1010 | 48% | |
08/28/15 | Santa Teresa ! | 0.005 | 1080 | W 4- 0 | Better (+4) | 1227 | 45% | |
08/28/15 | at Las Cruces ?? | 0.006 | 1155 | L 1- 3 | Expected (0) | 995 | 27% | |
08/29/15 | at Deming | 0.004 | 915 | W 5- 0 | Expected (+4) | 1227 | 57% | |
09/03/15 | at Gadsden | 0.016 | 872 | W 2- 1 | Expected (0) | 1004 | 62% | |
09/05/15 | at Deming | 0.009 | 915 | W 6- 0 | Expected (+5) | 1279 | 57% | |
09/12/15 | at Manzano | 0.062 | 993 | T 2- 2 | Better (0) | 1014 | 47% | |
09/15/15 | at Santa Teresa | 0.068 | 1080 | W 3- 0 | Better (+4) | 1208 | 37% | |
09/17/15 | at Artesia | 0.100 | 1014 | W 4- 2 | Better (+2) | 1124 | 44% | |
09/19/15 | at Goddard | 0.137 | 1166 | W 2- 1 | Better (+3) | 1151 | 26% | |
09/22/15 | Roswell | 0.155 | 1071 | W 4- 0 | Better (+4) | 1222 | 45% | |
09/29/15 | at Carlsbad | 0.353 | 1178 | W 1- 0 | Better (+3) | 1157 | 25% | |
10/03/15 | Hobbs ? | 0.429 | 1197 | L 2- 4 | Expected (0) | 984 | 30% | |
10/10/15 | Clovis | 0.547 | 1246 | L 1- 4 | Expected (-1) | 958 | 24% | |
10/17/15 | at Hobbs | 0.887 | 1197 | L 1- 3 | Expected (0) | 1016 | 23% | |
10/20/15 | Carlsbad | 0.919 | 1178 | L 1- 2 | Expected (0) | 1025 | 32% | |
10/24/15 | at Clovis | 0.773 | 1246 | L 0- 4 | Expected (-1) | 939 | 18% |
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Alamogordo actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 1103, while
Alamogordo's "weighted playing strength" is 1023
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.70 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/03/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 10/24/15)
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