| Overall | 6W 10L 2T |
| District | 1W 6L 1T |
| Expected | 15: 0+ 3- |
":" = Games won or lost as expected,
"+" = Games won against stronger team,
"-" = Games lost against weaker team)
|
37 15 4 Rank in State, Class, District |
993 -171 Strength Momentum |
1101 48.8(34) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) | |
| Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/25/15 | Valley | 0.003 | 1023 | L 2- 3 | Worse (-1) | 942 | 50% |  |
| 08/27/15 | at Cleveland | 0.004 | 1459 | L 0- 3 | Expected (+2) | 1091 | 5% | |
| 08/29/15 | at Eldorado ? | 0.005 | 1287 | L 0- 5 | Expected (-2) | 904 | 15% | |
| 09/01/15 | West Mesa | 0.012 | 870 | W 2- 1 | Expected (-1) | 965 | 70% | |
| 09/03/15 | at Atrisco Heritage ! | 0.016 | 924 | W 2- 1 | Expected (+1) | 1024 | 55% | |
| 09/08/15 | at Atrisco Heritage !! | 0.031 | 924 | W 2- 0 | Expected (+2) | 1075 | 55% | |
| 09/12/15 | Alamogordo | 0.062 | 1003 | T 2- 2 | Worse (0) | 982 | 53% | |
| 09/15/15 | Moriarty | 0.081 | 702 | W 3- 0 | Expected (0) | 982 | 86% | |
| 09/17/15 | at Rio Grande | 0.057 | 898 | W 5- 0 | Expected (+4) | 1214 | 58% | |
| 09/19/15 | Carlsbad | 0.125 | 1178 | L 0- 2 | Expected (0) | 970 | 31% | |
| 09/22/15 | at Highland | 0.198 | 830 | T 0- 0 | Worse (-1) | 927 | 66% | |
| 09/24/15 | La Cueva | 0.119 | 1338 | L 0- 5 | Expected (-2) | 897 | 15% | |
| 09/29/15 | at Eldorado | 0.243 | 1287 | L 0- 5 | Expected (-2) | 904 | 15% | |
| 10/01/15 | Sandia | 0.324 | 1278 | L 0- 3 | Expected (0) | 969 | 21% | |
| 10/08/15 | Highland | 0.667 | 830 | W 1- 0 | Expected (-1) | 945 | 73% | |
| 10/13/15 | at La Cueva | 0.639 | 1338 | L 0- 4 | Expected (0) | 980 | 11% | |
| 10/15/15 | Eldorado ?? | 0.239 | 1287 | L 0- 7 | Expected (-4) | 768 | 20% | |
| 10/20/15 | at Sandia | 0.934 | 1278 | L 0- 2 | Expected (+1) | 1051 | 15% | |
|
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Manzano actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 1101, while
Manzano's "weighted playing strength" is 971
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.70 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/03/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 10/24/15)
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