Strength
Strength
|
60 21 4 Rank in State, Class, District |
702 -212 Strength Momentum |
924 43.3(46) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) |
| Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/25/15 | ATC | 0.003 | 393 | W 4- 0 | Expected (+1) | 732 | 88% | |
| 08/27/15 | at Los Alamos ?? | 0.001 | 1191 | L 0-10 | Expected (-5) | 443 | 3% | |
| 08/29/15 | at Capital | 0.007 | 947 | L 1- 3 | Expected (+1) | 740 | 17% | |
| 09/01/15 | at Portales | 0.011 | 799 | W 3- 2 | Better (+2) | 816 | 33% | |
| 09/03/15 | at Santa Fe ! | 0.016 | 877 | W 2- 1 | Better (+3) | 856 | 24% | |
| 09/08/15 | Rio Grande !! | 0.034 | 898 | W 3- 1 | Better (+4) | 884 | 29% | |
| 09/10/15 | at Belen | 0.025 | 1170 | L 0- 6 | Expected (-1) | 648 | 6% | |
| 09/15/15 | at Manzano | 0.081 | 993 | L 0- 3 | Expected (0) | 713 | 14% | |
| 09/17/15 | Atrisco Heritage | 0.110 | 924 | L 1- 2 | Expected (+1) | 747 | 26% | |
| 09/19/15 | at Gallup | 0.137 | 642 | W 2- 1 | Expected (+1) | 738 | 53% | |
| 10/01/15 | Bernalillo | 0.434 | 836 | W 2- 1 | Better (+2) | 803 | 36% | |
| 10/06/15 | St. Pius ? | 0.048 | 1282 | L 0-10 | Expected (-5) | 456 | 2% | |
| 10/08/15 | at Grants | 0.667 | 797 | L 2- 3 | Expected (0) | 715 | 34% | |
| 10/13/15 | Albuquerque Academy | 0.065 | 1330 | L 0-10 | Expected (-4) | 480 | 1% | |
| 10/15/15 | at St. Pius | 0.121 | 1282 | L 0-10 | Expected (-4) | 488 | 1% | |
| 10/22/15 | at Albuquerque Academy | 0.291 | 1330 | L 0- 8 | Expected (-2) | 622 | 1% | |
| 10/23/15 | Grants | 0.941 | 797 | L 2- 3 | Expected (0) | 683 | 42% | |
|
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Moriarty actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 924, while
Moriarty's "weighted playing strength" is 695
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.70 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/03/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 10/24/15)
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