Strength
Strength
|
49 17 3 Rank in State, Class, District |
836 43 Strength Momentum |
921 37.7(61) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) |
| Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/28/15 | at Taos | 0.006 | 952 | L 0- 2 | Expected (-1) | 810 | 31% | |
| 08/29/15 | East Mountain | 0.007 | 1024 | L 0- 1 | Expected (+1) | 864 | 29% | |
| 08/29/15 | Silver | 0.007 | 895 | T 1- 1 | Better (0) | 849 | 47% | |
| 09/01/15 | Belen | 0.010 | 1170 | L 0- 2 | Expected (+1) | 887 | 17% | |
| 09/03/15 | Aztec | 0.003 | 1158 | L 0- 8 | Expected (-5) | 571 | 15% | |
| 09/12/15 | Grants | 0.059 | 797 | L 1- 2 | Worse (-2) | 750 | 60% | |
| 09/16/15 | Santa Fe Prep ?? | 0.089 | 654 | L 2- 4 | Worse (-4) | 628 | 77% | |
| 09/17/15 | at Gallup | 0.115 | 642 | T 0- 0 | Worse (-2) | 755 | 71% | |
| 09/23/15 | Del Norte | 0.208 | 823 | L 0- 1 | Worse (-1) | 763 | 56% | |
| 09/24/15 | Pojoaque !! | 0.158 | 689 | W 5- 0 | Expected (+3) | 999 | 73% | |
| 09/26/15 | Capital | 0.275 | 947 | L 0- 1 | Expected (0) | 825 | 39% | |
| 09/28/15 | at Taos | 0.224 | 952 | L 0- 5 | Expected (-4) | 657 | 31% | |
| 10/01/15 | at Moriarty ? | 0.434 | 702 | L 1- 2 | Worse (-2) | 735 | 64% | |
| 10/03/15 | Los Alamos | 0.372 | 1191 | L 0- 3 | Expected (0) | 847 | 12% | |
| 10/06/15 | at East Mountain | 0.576 | 1024 | L 0- 2 | Expected (0) | 846 | 22% | |
| 10/07/15 | at Santa Fe Indian | 0.599 | 686 | W 2- 1 | Expected (0) | 827 | 66% | |
| 10/10/15 | at Del Norte | 0.732 | 823 | L 0- 1 | Expected (-1) | 795 | 47% | |
| 10/13/15 | at Capital | 0.792 | 947 | L 0- 2 | Expected (-1) | 807 | 31% | |
| 10/17/15 | at Santa Fe | 0.923 | 877 | L 0- 1 | Expected (0) | 822 | 40% | |
| 10/21/15 | at Los Alamos | 0.944 | 1191 | L 0- 2 | Expected (+2) | 929 | 8% | |
|
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Bernalillo actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 921, while
Bernalillo's "weighted playing strength" is 823
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.70 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/03/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 10/24/15)
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