Strength
Strength
|
40 16 2 Rank in State, Class, District |
947 96 Strength Momentum |
823 42.5(48) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) |
| Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/24/15 | at St. Michael's | 0.000 | 1182 | L 0-10 | Expected (-7) | 560 | 17% | |
| 08/26/15 | Santa Fe Prep | 0.002 | 654 | W 6- 0 | Expected (+3) | 1088 | 87% | |
| 08/29/15 | Moriarty | 0.007 | 702 | W 3- 1 | Expected (-1) | 908 | 83% | |
| 09/01/15 | at Robertson | 0.011 | 717 | W 2- 1 | Expected (-1) | 898 | 75% | |
| 09/02/15 | at Santa Fe Indian | 0.014 | 686 | T 1- 1 | Worse (-2) | 833 | 79% | |
| 09/04/15 | Artesia | 0.017 | 1014 | L 3- 5 | Expected (-2) | 864 | 45% | |
| 09/08/15 | Los Lunas | 0.027 | 1217 | L 0- 3 | Expected (-1) | 915 | 23% | |
| 09/14/15 | Monte del Sol | 0.081 | 698 | W 2- 1 | Expected (-2) | 856 | 84% | |
| 09/19/15 | Santa Fe ? | 0.125 | 877 | L 1- 3 | Worse (-3) | 796 | 64% | |
| 09/22/15 | Los Alamos | 0.098 | 1191 | L 0- 5 | Expected (-3) | 801 | 23% | |
| 09/23/15 | Desert Academy | 0.171 | 564 | W 4- 0 | Expected (0) | 941 | 93% | |
| 09/25/15 | Hatch ?? | 0.229 | 782 | L 1- 3 | Worse (-4) | 748 | 75% | |
| 09/26/15 | at Bernalillo ! | 0.275 | 836 | W 1- 0 | Expected (0) | 957 | 61% | |
| 09/28/15 | Lovington | 0.331 | 629 | W 2- 0 | Expected (-1) | 872 | 89% | |
| 09/29/15 | Del Norte | 0.353 | 823 | L 2- 3 | Worse (-3) | 819 | 70% | |
| 10/01/15 | Pojoaque | 0.282 | 689 | W 5- 0 | Expected (+2) | 1054 | 84% | |
| 10/10/15 | at Los Alamos | 0.383 | 1191 | L 0- 6 | Expected (-3) | 781 | 16% | |
| 10/13/15 | Bernalillo !! | 0.792 | 836 | W 2- 0 | Expected (+1) | 975 | 69% | |
| 10/17/15 | at Del Norte | 0.794 | 823 | W 3- 1 | Expected (+1) | 1001 | 62% | |
|
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Capital actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 823, while
Capital's "weighted playing strength" is 915
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.70 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/03/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 10/24/15)
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