Strength
Strength
|
66 22 4 Rank in State, Class, District |
629 76 Strength Momentum |
1071 37.4(63) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) |
| Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/18/15 | at Clovis | 0.000 | 1246 | L 0-10 | Expected (-4) | 433 | 1% | |
| 08/21/15 | at Belen | 0.000 | 1170 | L 0-10 | Expected (-4) | 396 | 3% | |
| 08/22/15 | Silver | 0.001 | 895 | L 0- 5 | Expected (-3) | 494 | 21% | |
| 08/22/15 | Portales | 0.001 | 799 | L 1- 4 | Expected (-2) | 548 | 32% | |
| 08/29/15 | Carlsbad | 0.001 | 1178 | L 0-10 | Expected (-5) | 368 | 3% | |
| 09/03/15 | at Hobbs | 0.002 | 1197 | L 0-10 | Expected (-4) | 409 | 2% | |
| 09/05/15 | Ruidoso !! | 0.012 | 827 | W 7- 1 | Better (+8) | 1016 | 29% | |
| 09/08/15 | at Portales | 0.032 | 799 | L 2- 5 | Expected (-1) | 579 | 24% | |
| 09/15/15 | at Ruidoso | 0.088 | 827 | L 3- 5 | Expected (0) | 644 | 22% | |
| 09/19/15 | Clovis | 0.012 | 1246 | L 0-10 | Expected (-4) | 401 | 2% | |
| 09/21/15 | Portales ! | 0.180 | 799 | W 2- 1 | Better (+2) | 748 | 32% | |
| 09/28/15 | at Capital | 0.331 | 947 | L 0- 2 | Expected (+1) | 704 | 11% | |
| 10/02/15 | at Mayfield | 0.361 | 1123 | L 0- 4 | Expected (+1) | 691 | 3% | |
| 10/03/15 | at Las Cruces ? | 0.069 | 1155 | L 0-10 | Expected (-4) | 388 | 2% | |
| 10/06/15 | Artesia | 0.515 | 1014 | L 1- 3 | Expected (+2) | 705 | 11% | |
| 10/10/15 | at Roswell ?? | 0.101 | 1071 | L 1-11 | Expected (-5) | 346 | 5% | |
| 10/15/15 | Goddard | 0.239 | 1166 | L 0- 7 | Expected (-2) | 525 | 3% | |
| 10/17/15 | at Artesia | 0.601 | 1014 | L 1- 6 | Expected (-1) | 585 | 7% | |
| 10/20/15 | Roswell | 0.479 | 1071 | L 0- 5 | Expected (-1) | 581 | 8% | |
| 10/22/15 | at Goddard | 0.137 | 1166 | L 0-10 | Expected (-4) | 394 | 2% | |
|
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Lovington actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 1071, while
Lovington's "weighted playing strength" is 615
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.70 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/03/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 10/24/15)
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