18 10 2 Rank in State, Class, District |
1197 -60 Strength Momentum |
1161 62.2(8) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) |
Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
08/21/15 | Mayfield | 0.002 | 1123 | T 1- 1 | Worse (-1) | 1144 | 63% | |
08/22/15 | Gadsden | 0.001 | 872 | W 8- 0 | Expected (+4) | 1428 | 88% | |
08/27/15 | at Goddard ? | 0.004 | 1166 | L 1- 5 | Expected (-4) | 996 | 49% | |
09/01/15 | at Artesia | 0.006 | 1014 | W 6- 1 | Expected (+3) | 1374 | 69% | |
09/03/15 | Lovington | 0.002 | 629 | W 10- 0 | Expected (+4) | 1417 | 98% | |
09/04/15 | at Centennial !! | 0.019 | 1292 | W 1- 0 | Better (+2) | 1310 | 35% | |
09/11/15 | at Onate | 0.052 | 985 | W 2- 1 | Expected (-1) | 1157 | 72% | |
09/12/15 | at Las Cruces ?? | 0.055 | 1155 | L 1- 4 | Worse (-3) | 1042 | 51% | |
09/15/15 | Roswell | 0.088 | 1071 | W 3- 1 | Expected (0) | 1218 | 70% | |
09/18/15 | at Eldorado | 0.115 | 1287 | L 0- 3 | Expected (-2) | 1107 | 34% | |
09/19/15 | at Cibola | 0.140 | 1381 | L 0- 2 | Expected (0) | 1205 | 24% | |
09/22/15 | Goddard | 0.192 | 1166 | W 3- 1 | Expected (+1) | 1266 | 58% | |
09/25/15 | at Roswell | 0.251 | 1071 | W 1- 0 | Expected (0) | 1200 | 62% | |
09/26/15 | at Sandia Prep | 0.225 | 1186 | L 1- 5 | Expected (-4) | 1006 | 47% | |
09/29/15 | at Clovis | 0.359 | 1246 | L 0- 2 | Expected (-1) | 1137 | 39% | |
10/03/15 | at Alamogordo | 0.429 | 1003 | W 4- 2 | Expected (0) | 1216 | 70% | |
10/10/15 | Carlsbad ! | 0.647 | 1178 | W 4- 1 | Expected (+2) | 1322 | 56% | |
10/17/15 | Alamogordo | 0.887 | 1003 | W 3- 1 | Expected (0) | 1184 | 77% | |
10/20/15 | Clovis | 0.972 | 1246 | W 1- 0 | Better (+1) | 1255 | 48% | |
10/24/15 | at Carlsbad | 0.958 | 1178 | L 0- 2 | Expected (-2) | 1103 | 48% |
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Hobbs actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 1161, while
Hobbs's "weighted playing strength" is 1193
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.70 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/03/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 10/24/15)
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