| Overall | 12W 6L 2T |
| District | 2W 3L 1T |
| Expected | 14: 4+ 2- |
":" = Games won or lost as expected,
"+" = Games won against stronger team,
"-" = Games lost against weaker team)
|
21 11 3 Rank in State, Class, District |
1178 -238 Strength Momentum |
1139 60.6(11) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) | |
| Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/22/15 | Mayfield !! | 0.001 | 1123 | W 5- 0 | Expected (+4) | 1387 | 61% |  |
| 08/25/15 | Roswell ! | 0.001 | 1071 | W 8- 1 | Expected (+6) | 1465 | 68% | |
| 08/29/15 | at Lovington | 0.001 | 629 | W 10- 0 | Expected (+5) | 1440 | 97% | |
| 09/01/15 | at Roswell | 0.009 | 1071 | W 3- 0 | Expected (+2) | 1291 | 60% | |
| 09/04/15 | at Las Cruces | 0.019 | 1155 | W 3- 2 | Better (+1) | 1233 | 48% | |
| 09/05/15 | at Onate | 0.020 | 985 | W 2- 0 | Expected (0) | 1198 | 70% | |
| 09/08/15 | at Artesia | 0.031 | 1014 | W 2- 0 | Expected (+1) | 1212 | 67% | |
| 09/10/15 | at Albuquerque Academy | 0.048 | 1330 | L 2- 3 | Expected (+1) | 1220 | 27% | |
| 09/11/15 | Centennial | 0.055 | 1292 | W 2- 1 | Better (+2) | 1269 | 41% | |
| 09/12/15 | Los Alamos ? | 0.059 | 1191 | L 0- 1 | Worse (-1) | 1119 | 52% | |
| 09/15/15 | at Goddard | 0.091 | 1166 | T 2- 2 | Better (0) | 1188 | 47% | |
| 09/18/15 | at Cibola | 0.085 | 1381 | L 0- 5 | Expected (-3) | 1043 | 22% | |
| 09/19/15 | at Manzano | 0.125 | 993 | W 2- 0 | Expected (0) | 1202 | 69% | |
| 09/22/15 | Artesia | 0.130 | 1014 | W 6- 1 | Expected (+3) | 1332 | 74% | |
| 09/26/15 | Clovis | 0.289 | 1246 | T 2- 2 | Better (0) | 1196 | 45% | |
| 09/29/15 | Alamogordo ?? | 0.353 | 1003 | L 0- 1 | Worse (-3) | 1025 | 75% | |
| 10/10/15 | at Hobbs | 0.647 | 1197 | L 1- 4 | Expected (-2) | 1053 | 44% | |
| 10/17/15 | at Clovis | 0.923 | 1246 | L 0- 1 | Expected (0) | 1178 | 37% | |
| 10/20/15 | at Alamogordo | 0.919 | 1003 | W 2- 1 | Expected (0) | 1157 | 68% | |
| 10/24/15 | Hobbs | 0.958 | 1197 | W 2- 0 | Expected (+2) | 1272 | 52% | |
|
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Carlsbad actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 1139, while
Carlsbad's "weighted playing strength" is 1170
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.70 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/03/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 10/24/15)
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