| Overall | 7W 12L 1T |
| District | 3W 5L 0T |
| Expected | 15: 3+ 2- |
":" = Games won or lost as expected,
"+" = Games won against stronger team,
"-" = Games lost against weaker team)
|
37 15 3 Rank in State, Class, District |
985 -199 Strength Momentum |
1123 46.8(42) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) | |
| Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/19/15 | Santa Teresa | 0.001 | 1080 | W 5- 1 | Better (+5) | 1217 | 43% |  |
| 08/21/15 | at Cleveland | 0.001 | 1459 | L 0- 6 | Expected (-1) | 934 | 4% | |
| 08/22/15 | at Rio Rancho | 0.001 | 1461 | L 0- 5 | Expected (0) | 986 | 4% | |
| 08/27/15 | Alamogordo | 0.005 | 1003 | T 0- 0 | Worse (0) | 978 | 52% | |
| 08/28/15 | Santa Teresa ! | 0.003 | 1080 | W 6- 0 | Better (+7) | 1320 | 43% | |
| 08/28/15 | at Las Cruces !! | 0.006 | 1155 | W 1- 0 | Better (+3) | 1136 | 25% | |
| 08/29/15 | at Centennial | 0.007 | 1292 | L 0- 1 | Expected (+2) | 1104 | 15% | |
| 09/05/15 | Carlsbad | 0.020 | 1178 | L 0- 2 | Expected (0) | 965 | 30% | |
| 09/11/15 | Hobbs | 0.052 | 1197 | L 1- 2 | Expected (+1) | 1025 | 28% | |
| 09/18/15 | at Sandia | 0.115 | 1278 | L 0- 3 | Expected (0) | 997 | 15% | |
| 09/19/15 | Valley ? | 0.125 | 1023 | L 1- 3 | Expected (-2) | 888 | 50% | |
| 09/22/15 | Silver | 0.199 | 895 | W 2- 1 | Expected (0) | 974 | 66% | |
| 09/26/15 | Las Cruces | 0.250 | 1155 | L 0- 2 | Expected (-1) | 954 | 33% | |
| 09/29/15 | Deming | 0.373 | 915 | W 3- 2 | Expected (0) | 984 | 63% | |
| 10/03/15 | at Gadsden ?? | 0.498 | 872 | L 0- 1 | Worse (-2) | 894 | 61% | |
| 10/08/15 | at Mayfield | 0.667 | 1123 | L 3- 4 | Expected (+1) | 1020 | 29% | |
| 10/15/15 | at Las Cruces | 0.775 | 1155 | L 1- 4 | Expected (-1) | 935 | 25% | |
| 10/17/15 | at Deming | 0.794 | 915 | W 2- 0 | Expected (+2) | 1066 | 55% | |
| 10/20/15 | Gadsden | 0.934 | 872 | W 3- 1 | Expected (+1) | 1013 | 69% | |
| 10/23/15 | Mayfield | 0.856 | 1123 | L 0- 2 | Expected (-1) | 938 | 36% | |
|
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Onate actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 1123, while
Onate's "weighted playing strength" is 980
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.70 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/03/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 10/24/15)
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