11 7 3 Rank in State, Class, District |
1278 -103 Strength Momentum |
1155 56.4(21) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) |
Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
08/24/15 | Rio Rancho | 0.003 | 1461 | L 0- 1 | Expected (+1) | 1303 | 31% | |
08/26/15 | West Mesa | 0.004 | 870 | W 2- 0 | Expected (-2) | 1158 | 93% | |
08/29/15 | at Albuquerque Academy | 0.007 | 1330 | T 1- 1 | Better (+1) | 1320 | 39% | |
09/02/15 | Valley ! | 0.009 | 1023 | W 5- 0 | Expected (+2) | 1387 | 83% | |
09/04/15 | at Highland | 0.007 | 830 | W 6- 0 | Expected (+2) | 1374 | 91% | |
09/08/15 | at Cibola !! | 0.031 | 1381 | W 3- 1 | Better (+3) | 1445 | 33% | |
09/10/15 | at Albuquerque | 0.048 | 1475 | L 0- 1 | Expected (+1) | 1343 | 23% | |
09/12/15 | Cleveland | 0.054 | 1459 | L 0- 2 | Expected (-1) | 1252 | 31% | |
09/18/15 | Onate | 0.115 | 985 | W 3- 0 | Expected (0) | 1266 | 85% | |
09/19/15 | Gadsden | 0.128 | 872 | W 4- 1 | Expected (-1) | 1210 | 93% | |
09/22/15 | at Eldorado ? | 0.176 | 1287 | L 0- 3 | Expected (-3) | 1148 | 45% | |
09/26/15 | Highland | 0.117 | 830 | W 7- 0 | Expected (+2) | 1394 | 94% | |
10/01/15 | at Manzano | 0.324 | 993 | W 3- 0 | Expected (0) | 1302 | 79% | |
10/06/15 | La Cueva | 0.567 | 1338 | L 2- 3 | Expected (-1) | 1242 | 46% | |
10/08/15 | Eldorado ?? | 0.329 | 1287 | L 0- 5 | Worse (-5) | 1014 | 53% | |
10/13/15 | at Highland | 0.155 | 830 | W 8- 0 | Expected (+4) | 1480 | 91% | |
10/20/15 | Manzano | 0.934 | 993 | W 2- 0 | Expected (-1) | 1220 | 85% | |
10/22/15 | at La Cueva | 0.937 | 1338 | W 1- 0 | Better (+2) | 1374 | 38% |
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Sandia actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 1155, while
Sandia's "weighted playing strength" is 1267
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.70 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/03/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 10/24/15)
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