| Overall | 13W 5L 0T |
| District | 5W 3L 0T |
| Expected | 13: 4+ 1- |
":" = Games won or lost as expected,
"+" = Games won against stronger team,
"-" = Games lost against weaker team)
|
5 5 4 Rank in State, Class, District |
1381 -99 Strength Momentum |
1304 58.7(14) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) | |
| Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/25/15 | at Atrisco Heritage !! | 0.000 | 924 | W 10- 0 | Expected (+6) | 1688 | 93% |  |
| 08/27/15 | at Albuquerque | 0.005 | 1475 | W 2- 1 | Better (+2) | 1494 | 34% | |
| 08/29/15 | Highland | 0.003 | 830 | W 7- 0 | Expected (+1) | 1446 | 98% | |
| 09/02/15 | Volcano Vista ? | 0.013 | 1454 | L 0- 1 | Expected (-1) | 1351 | 44% | |
| 09/04/15 | Albuquerque Academy | 0.020 | 1330 | W 2- 1 | Expected (0) | 1389 | 61% | |
| 09/08/15 | Sandia ?? | 0.031 | 1278 | L 1- 3 | Worse (-3) | 1213 | 67% | |
| 09/10/15 | at Atrisco Heritage ! | 0.004 | 924 | W 10- 0 | Expected (+6) | 1688 | 93% | |
| 09/15/15 | Rio Grande | 0.013 | 898 | W 10- 0 | Expected (+5) | 1643 | 97% | |
| 09/18/15 | Carlsbad | 0.085 | 1178 | W 5- 0 | Expected (+3) | 1516 | 78% | |
| 09/19/15 | Hobbs | 0.140 | 1197 | W 2- 0 | Expected (0) | 1373 | 76% | |
| 09/22/15 | Volcano Vista | 0.199 | 1454 | W 1- 0 | Better (+1) | 1451 | 44% | |
| 09/30/15 | at Rio Rancho | 0.313 | 1461 | L 0- 4 | Expected (-3) | 1236 | 36% | |
| 10/03/15 | Cleveland | 0.498 | 1459 | W 1- 0 | Better (+1) | 1454 | 44% | |
| 10/07/15 | at Santa Fe | 0.050 | 877 | W 10- 0 | Expected (+5) | 1665 | 95% | |
| 10/10/15 | at Volcano Vista | 0.693 | 1454 | W 1- 0 | Better (+2) | 1483 | 36% | |
| 10/17/15 | Rio Rancho | 0.873 | 1461 | L 2- 3 | Expected (-1) | 1355 | 44% | |
| 10/21/15 | at Cleveland | 0.944 | 1459 | L 1- 3 | Expected (-1) | 1336 | 36% | |
| 10/23/15 | Santa Fe | 0.138 | 877 | W 10- 0 | Expected (+5) | 1633 | 97% | |
|
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Cibola actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 1304, while
Cibola's "weighted playing strength" is 1398
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.70 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/03/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 10/24/15)
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