2015 Season results for Albuquerque (GV,5-6A)

1   1   1
Rank in
State, Class, District
1475     195
Strength     Momentum
1023   58.6(15)
SOS,       RPI(RPI Rank)

Season Records:
Overall  15W   2L   1T 
District  9W   0L   0T 
Expected  14:   1+   3- 
("W L T" = Win Loss Tie,
":" = Games won or lost as expected,
"+" = Games won against stronger team,
"-" = Games lost against weaker team)

DateOpponent1 RGWF4 Opp
Strength
ResultExpectation2Playing
Strength
P(Win)3Send
EMail
08/25/15 Highland 0.003830W 4- 0 Expected (-3)1338 99%
08/27/15 Cibola ? 0.0051381L 1- 2 Worse (-2)1362 66%
08/29/15 at Atrisco Heritage 0.004924W 5- 0 Expected (0)1468 97%
09/01/15 at La Cueva ?? 0.0121338L 1- 3 Worse (-3)1322 63%
09/03/15 at Cleveland !! 0.0161459W 1- 0 Better (+1)1533 48%
09/08/15 Sandia Prep 0.0341186W 3- 1 Expected (-1)1415 86%
09/10/15 Sandia 0.0481278W 1- 0 Expected (-1)1411 77%
09/15/15 Rio Rancho 0.0911461W 2- 1 Expected (+1)1502 56%
09/17/15 Los Lunas 0.1021217W 4- 1 Expected (0)1481 82%
09/23/15 Atrisco Heritage 0.030924W 10- 0 Expected (+4)1703 98%
09/25/15 Albuquerque Academy 0.2641330T 0- 0 Worse (-2)1386 72%
09/30/15 at Valley 0.1991023W 5- 0 Expected (+1)1517 93%
10/03/15 Rio Grande 0.324898W 5- 0 Expected (-1)1423 99%
10/07/15 at West Mesa 0.312870W 5- 0 Expected (-1)1441 98%
10/10/15 at Atrisco Heritage 0.274924W 7- 1 Expected (+1)1520 97%
10/17/15 Valley ! 0.1901023W 9- 0 Expected (+4)1697 96%
10/21/15 at Rio Grande 0.267898W 7- 0 Expected (+2)1559 98%
10/24/15 West Mesa 0.521870W 6- 0 Expected (0)1461 99%
      Notes:
      1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game
         Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Albuquerque actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted
      2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin
      3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference
      4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game
      * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage

The median opponent strength is 1023, while
Albuquerque's "weighted playing strength" is 1486
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.70 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/03/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 10/24/15)

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