1 1 1 Rank in State, Class, District |
1475 195 Strength Momentum |
1023 58.6(15) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) |
Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
08/25/15 | Highland | 0.003 | 830 | W 4- 0 | Expected (-3) | 1338 | 99% | |
08/27/15 | Cibola ? | 0.005 | 1381 | L 1- 2 | Worse (-2) | 1362 | 66% | |
08/29/15 | at Atrisco Heritage | 0.004 | 924 | W 5- 0 | Expected (0) | 1468 | 97% | |
09/01/15 | at La Cueva ?? | 0.012 | 1338 | L 1- 3 | Worse (-3) | 1322 | 63% | |
09/03/15 | at Cleveland !! | 0.016 | 1459 | W 1- 0 | Better (+1) | 1533 | 48% | |
09/08/15 | Sandia Prep | 0.034 | 1186 | W 3- 1 | Expected (-1) | 1415 | 86% | |
09/10/15 | Sandia | 0.048 | 1278 | W 1- 0 | Expected (-1) | 1411 | 77% | |
09/15/15 | Rio Rancho | 0.091 | 1461 | W 2- 1 | Expected (+1) | 1502 | 56% | |
09/17/15 | Los Lunas | 0.102 | 1217 | W 4- 1 | Expected (0) | 1481 | 82% | |
09/23/15 | Atrisco Heritage | 0.030 | 924 | W 10- 0 | Expected (+4) | 1703 | 98% | |
09/25/15 | Albuquerque Academy | 0.264 | 1330 | T 0- 0 | Worse (-2) | 1386 | 72% | |
09/30/15 | at Valley | 0.199 | 1023 | W 5- 0 | Expected (+1) | 1517 | 93% | |
10/03/15 | Rio Grande | 0.324 | 898 | W 5- 0 | Expected (-1) | 1423 | 99% | |
10/07/15 | at West Mesa | 0.312 | 870 | W 5- 0 | Expected (-1) | 1441 | 98% | |
10/10/15 | at Atrisco Heritage | 0.274 | 924 | W 7- 1 | Expected (+1) | 1520 | 97% | |
10/17/15 | Valley ! | 0.190 | 1023 | W 9- 0 | Expected (+4) | 1697 | 96% | |
10/21/15 | at Rio Grande | 0.267 | 898 | W 7- 0 | Expected (+2) | 1559 | 98% | |
10/24/15 | West Mesa | 0.521 | 870 | W 6- 0 | Expected (0) | 1461 | 99% |
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Albuquerque actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 1023, while
Albuquerque's "weighted playing strength" is 1486
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.70 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/03/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 10/24/15)
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