32 14 2 Rank in State, Class, District |
1023 53 Strength Momentum |
954 51.5(30) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) |
Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
08/25/15 | at Manzano | 0.003 | 993 | W 3- 2 | Better (+1) | 1074 | 50% | |
08/27/15 | at Eldorado | 0.003 | 1287 | L 0- 5 | Expected (-2) | 919 | 16% | |
08/29/15 | at Cleveland | 0.001 | 1459 | L 0- 9 | Expected (-4) | 793 | 5% | |
09/02/15 | at Sandia ? | 0.009 | 1278 | L 0- 5 | Expected (-2) | 914 | 17% | |
09/04/15 | at Del Norte | 0.015 | 823 | W 3- 0 | Expected (+1) | 1090 | 72% | |
09/08/15 | Highland | 0.036 | 830 | W 3- 2 | Expected (-1) | 960 | 77% | |
09/11/15 | at Piedra Vista ?? | 0.042 | 1031 | L 0- 4 | Expected (-4) | 842 | 44% | |
09/18/15 | Gadsden | 0.085 | 872 | W 6- 1 | Expected (+3) | 1184 | 73% | |
09/19/15 | at Onate !! | 0.125 | 985 | W 3- 1 | Expected (+2) | 1120 | 50% | |
09/23/15 | West Mesa | 0.171 | 870 | W 4- 0 | Expected (+2) | 1131 | 74% | |
09/26/15 | at Atrisco Heritage ! | 0.250 | 924 | W 2- 0 | Expected (+1) | 1090 | 59% | |
09/30/15 | Albuquerque | 0.199 | 1475 | L 0- 5 | Expected (-1) | 981 | 7% | |
10/03/15 | at Albuquerque Academy | 0.440 | 1330 | L 0- 3 | Expected (0) | 1042 | 12% | |
10/07/15 | Rio Grande | 0.633 | 898 | W 2- 1 | Expected (-1) | 994 | 70% | |
10/10/15 | at West Mesa | 0.630 | 870 | W 2- 0 | Expected (+1) | 1062 | 66% | |
10/14/15 | Atrisco Heritage | 0.852 | 924 | W 1- 0 | Expected (0) | 1007 | 67% | |
10/17/15 | at Albuquerque | 0.190 | 1475 | L 0- 9 | Expected (-4) | 801 | 4% | |
10/23/15 | at Rio Grande | 0.941 | 898 | W 1- 0 | Expected (0) | 1026 | 62% |
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Valley actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 954, while
Valley's "weighted playing strength" is 1024
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.70 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/03/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 10/24/15)
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