11 7 2 Rank in State, Class, District |
1287 40 Strength Momentum |
1278 64.2(5) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) |
Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
08/25/15 | Cleveland | 0.003 | 1459 | W 1- 0 | Better (+2) | 1407 | 32% | |
08/27/15 | Valley | 0.003 | 1023 | W 5- 0 | Expected (+2) | 1391 | 84% | |
08/29/15 | Manzano | 0.005 | 993 | W 5- 0 | Expected (+2) | 1376 | 85% | |
09/02/15 | at Albuquerque Academy | 0.012 | 1330 | W 3- 1 | Better (+3) | 1425 | 40% | |
09/04/15 | Volcano Vista | 0.017 | 1454 | L 0- 2 | Expected (-1) | 1254 | 33% | |
09/08/15 | at West Mesa | 0.018 | 870 | W 6- 1 | Expected (+1) | 1347 | 90% | |
09/10/15 | at Rio Rancho !! | 0.045 | 1461 | W 2- 1 | Better (+3) | 1440 | 25% | |
09/15/15 | at Volcano Vista | 0.086 | 1454 | W 2- 1 | Better (+3) | 1437 | 26% | |
09/18/15 | Hobbs | 0.115 | 1197 | W 3- 0 | Expected (+2) | 1377 | 66% | |
09/22/15 | Sandia | 0.176 | 1278 | W 3- 0 | Expected (+3) | 1417 | 55% | |
09/24/15 | at St. Pius ?? | 0.242 | 1282 | L 2- 3 | Expected (-1) | 1251 | 46% | |
09/29/15 | Manzano | 0.243 | 993 | W 5- 0 | Expected (+2) | 1376 | 85% | |
10/03/15 | at La Cueva | 0.496 | 1338 | T 1- 1 | Better (+1) | 1328 | 40% | |
10/06/15 | at Highland | 0.048 | 830 | W 10- 0 | Expected (+6) | 1594 | 92% | |
10/08/15 | at Sandia ! | 0.329 | 1278 | W 5- 0 | Better (+5) | 1551 | 47% | |
10/15/15 | at Manzano | 0.239 | 993 | W 7- 0 | Expected (+4) | 1513 | 80% | |
10/20/15 | La Cueva ? | 0.604 | 1338 | L 1- 5 | Expected (-4) | 1095 | 48% | |
10/23/15 | Highland | 0.205 | 830 | W 9- 0 | Expected (+4) | 1507 | 95% |
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Eldorado actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 1278, while
Eldorado's "weighted playing strength" is 1347
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.70 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/03/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 10/24/15)
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