Strength
Strength
|
42 18 4 Rank in State, Class, District |
915 56 Strength Momentum |
1041 40.9(56) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) |
| Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/18/15 | at Chaparral ! | 0.001 | 1082 | W 4- 1 | Better (+5) | 1165 | 27% | |
| 08/20/15 | at Silver | 0.001 | 895 | W 2- 1 | Better (+1) | 971 | 49% | |
| 08/28/15 | at Centennial | 0.004 | 1292 | L 0- 5 | Expected (-1) | 867 | 10% | |
| 08/29/15 | Alamogordo | 0.004 | 1003 | L 0- 5 | Expected (-4) | 691 | 43% | |
| 08/29/15 | Gadsden | 0.007 | 872 | W 3- 2 | Expected (0) | 928 | 60% | |
| 09/05/15 | Alamogordo ? | 0.009 | 1003 | L 0- 6 | Expected (-5) | 639 | 43% | |
| 09/08/15 | at Centennial | 0.019 | 1292 | L 0- 6 | Expected (-2) | 816 | 10% | |
| 09/10/15 | Silver | 0.047 | 895 | T 1- 1 | Worse (-1) | 889 | 57% | |
| 09/12/15 | at Santa Teresa | 0.060 | 1080 | L 1- 3 | Expected (0) | 913 | 28% | |
| 09/15/15 | Chaparral | 0.088 | 1082 | W 3- 1 | Better (+3) | 1083 | 34% | |
| 09/16/15 | Santa Teresa | 0.089 | 1080 | L 3- 5 | Expected (-1) | 881 | 35% | |
| 09/22/15 | Gadsden | 0.199 | 872 | W 2- 1 | Expected (0) | 928 | 60% | |
| 09/24/15 | at Hatch | 0.229 | 782 | W 2- 1 | Expected (0) | 914 | 63% | |
| 09/26/15 | at Mayfield !! | 0.250 | 1123 | W 2- 0 | Better (+4) | 1135 | 21% | |
| 09/29/15 | at Onate | 0.373 | 985 | L 2- 3 | Expected (0) | 916 | 37% | |
| 10/01/15 | Las Cruces | 0.373 | 1155 | L 0- 2 | Expected (0) | 919 | 24% | |
| 10/08/15 | at Gadsden | 0.667 | 872 | L 1- 2 | Worse (-1) | 860 | 51% | |
| 10/13/15 | Mayfield | 0.616 | 1123 | L 1- 4 | Expected (-1) | 853 | 28% | |
| 10/17/15 | Onate ?? | 0.794 | 985 | L 0- 2 | Expected (-2) | 834 | 45% | |
| 10/24/15 | at Las Cruces | 0.997 | 1155 | L 0- 1 | Expected (+2) | 1001 | 18% | |
|
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Deming actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 1041, while
Deming's "weighted playing strength" is 917
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.70 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/03/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 10/24/15)
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