43 8 2 Rank in State, Class, District |
895 31 Strength Momentum |
952 42.3(49) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) |
Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
08/20/15 | Deming ? | 0.001 | 915 | L 1- 2 | Worse (-1) | 839 | 51% | |
08/21/15 | at Roswell | 0.000 | 1071 | L 0- 8 | Expected (-6) | 589 | 24% | |
08/22/15 | at Artesia | 0.002 | 1014 | T 1- 1 | Better (+2) | 970 | 31% | |
08/22/15 | at Lovington | 0.001 | 629 | W 5- 0 | Expected (+3) | 1030 | 79% | |
08/25/15 | at Chaparral !! | 0.003 | 1082 | W 2- 0 | Better (+4) | 1105 | 25% | |
08/28/15 | East Mountain | 0.006 | 1024 | L 0- 1 | Expected (0) | 893 | 37% | |
08/28/15 | at Taos | 0.004 | 952 | L 1- 6 | Expected (-4) | 687 | 38% | |
08/29/15 | at Bernalillo | 0.007 | 836 | T 1- 1 | Worse (0) | 881 | 53% | |
09/09/15 | Santa Teresa | 0.039 | 1080 | L 1- 2 | Expected (+1) | 921 | 32% | |
09/10/15 | at Deming | 0.047 | 915 | T 1- 1 | Better (+1) | 921 | 43% | |
09/12/15 | at Gadsden ?? | 0.041 | 872 | L 0- 5 | Expected (-5) | 647 | 49% | |
09/17/15 | Chaparral ! | 0.116 | 1082 | W 1- 0 | Better (+3) | 1022 | 32% | |
09/19/15 | Ruidoso | 0.128 | 827 | W 5- 2 | Expected (+2) | 995 | 63% | |
09/22/15 | at Onate | 0.199 | 985 | L 1- 2 | Expected (0) | 906 | 34% | |
09/26/15 | at Ruidoso | 0.289 | 827 | T 2- 2 | Worse (0) | 877 | 55% | |
10/06/15 | at Socorro | 0.529 | 1287 | L 0- 3 | Expected (+1) | 956 | 7% | |
10/08/15 | Socorro | 0.414 | 1287 | L 1- 5 | Expected (0) | 874 | 11% | |
10/15/15 | at Hatch | 0.830 | 782 | W 2- 1 | Expected (0) | 904 | 61% | |
10/23/15 | Hatch | 0.995 | 782 | W 1- 0 | Expected (0) | 872 | 69% |
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Silver actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 952, while
Silver's "weighted playing strength" is 902
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.70 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/03/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 10/24/15)
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