29 11 2 Rank in State, Class, District |
1071 97 Strength Momentum |
1161 48.6(36) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) |
Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
08/18/15 | at Las Cruces | 0.001 | 1155 | L 2- 6 | Expected (-3) | 928 | 35% | |
08/21/15 | Silver ! | 0.000 | 895 | W 8- 0 | Expected (+6) | 1377 | 76% | |
08/22/15 | Belen !! | 0.002 | 1170 | W 6- 4 | Better (+3) | 1205 | 42% | |
08/22/15 | Goddard | 0.002 | 1166 | L 0- 2 | Expected (-1) | 1002 | 41% | |
08/25/15 | at Carlsbad | 0.001 | 1178 | L 1- 8 | Expected (-6) | 784 | 32% | |
08/29/15 | Portales | 0.002 | 799 | W 8- 0 | Expected (+5) | 1329 | 85% | |
09/01/15 | Carlsbad | 0.009 | 1178 | L 0- 3 | Expected (-2) | 958 | 40% | |
09/08/15 | Clovis | 0.034 | 1246 | L 4- 5 | Expected (0) | 1092 | 32% | |
09/15/15 | at Hobbs | 0.088 | 1197 | L 1- 3 | Expected (0) | 1050 | 30% | |
09/17/15 | at Clovis | 0.090 | 1246 | L 0- 4 | Expected (-2) | 973 | 25% | |
09/22/15 | at Alamogordo ?? | 0.155 | 1003 | L 0- 4 | Worse (-4) | 852 | 55% | |
09/25/15 | Hobbs | 0.251 | 1197 | L 0- 1 | Expected (0) | 1068 | 38% | |
09/26/15 | at Piedra Vista | 0.291 | 1031 | L 1- 2 | Worse (-1) | 1017 | 51% | |
09/29/15 | at Ruidoso | 0.030 | 827 | W 10- 0 | Expected (+8) | 1485 | 76% | |
10/06/15 | Goddard | 0.596 | 1166 | T 1- 1 | Better (+1) | 1102 | 41% | |
10/10/15 | Lovington | 0.101 | 629 | W 11- 1 | Expected (+5) | 1354 | 95% | |
10/15/15 | at Artesia ? | 0.843 | 1014 | L 0- 2 | Worse (-2) | 958 | 53% | |
10/17/15 | Goddard | 0.873 | 1166 | L 1- 2 | Expected (0) | 1052 | 41% | |
10/20/15 | at Lovington | 0.479 | 629 | W 5- 0 | Expected (+1) | 1118 | 92% | |
10/22/15 | Artesia | 0.874 | 1014 | W 3- 0 | Expected (+2) | 1177 | 62% |
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Roswell actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 1161, while
Roswell's "weighted playing strength" is 1071
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.70 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/03/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 10/24/15)
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