| Overall | 10W 10L 2T |
| District | 4W 5L 1T |
| Expected | 13: 3+ 4- |
":" = Games won or lost as expected,
"+" = Games won against stronger team,
"-" = Games lost against weaker team)
|
23 8 4 Rank in State, Class, District |
1170 -5 Strength Momentum |
1132 48.8(33) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) | |
| Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/21/15 | Lovington | 0.000 | 629 | W 10- 0 | Expected (+4) | 1404 | 97% |  |
| 08/22/15 | Valencia | 0.001 | 1206 | L 0- 3 | Expected (-3) | 1022 | 50% | |
| 08/22/15 | at Roswell ?? | 0.002 | 1071 | L 4- 6 | Worse (-3) | 1036 | 58% | |
| 08/25/15 | at Sandia Prep | 0.003 | 1186 | L 3- 4 | Expected (-1) | 1144 | 44% | |
| 08/27/15 | St. Michael's | 0.005 | 1182 | L 0- 1 | Worse (-1) | 1110 | 52% | |
| 08/29/15 | at Socorro | 0.007 | 1287 | T 1- 1 | Better (+1) | 1245 | 32% | |
| 09/01/15 | at Bernalillo | 0.010 | 836 | W 2- 0 | Expected (-1) | 1119 | 83% | |
| 09/05/15 | at Miyamura | 0.017 | 730 | W 3- 0 | Expected (-1) | 1117 | 90% | |
| 09/10/15 | Moriarty | 0.025 | 702 | W 6- 0 | Expected (+1) | 1224 | 94% | |
| 09/12/15 | at Rio Grande | 0.059 | 898 | W 2- 1 | Expected (-1) | 1100 | 77% | |
| 09/15/15 | at Del Norte | 0.078 | 823 | W 2- 0 | Expected (-1) | 1113 | 84% | |
| 09/17/15 | Socorro | 0.110 | 1287 | L 2- 3 | Expected (0) | 1163 | 39% | |
| 09/22/15 | at Santa Teresa | 0.198 | 1080 | T 2- 2 | Worse (-1) | 1141 | 57% | |
| 09/26/15 | at Valencia | 0.257 | 1206 | L 1- 4 | Expected (-2) | 1054 | 42% | |
| 09/29/15 | at Los Lunas | 0.359 | 1217 | L 0- 2 | Expected (-1) | 1109 | 41% | |
| 10/03/15 | Centennial | 0.429 | 1292 | L 1- 3 | Expected (-1) | 1115 | 40% | |
| 10/06/15 | Chaparral ! | 0.529 | 1082 | W 3- 0 | Expected (+2) | 1261 | 64% | |
| 10/10/15 | Santa Teresa | 1080 | F 1--1 | Forfeit +1 | --- | 64% | | |
| 10/13/15 | Valencia | 0.824 | 1206 | W 2- 1 | Better (+1) | 1222 | 50% | |
| 10/16/15 | Los Lunas !! | 0.901 | 1217 | W 1- 0 | Better (+1) | 1228 | 48% | |
| 10/20/15 | at Centennial | 1292 | F -1- 1 | Forfeit -2 | --- | 33% | | |
| 10/24/15 | at Chaparral ? | 0.997 | 1082 | L 0- 1 | Worse (-2) | 1092 | 56% | |
|
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Belen actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 1132, while
Belen's "weighted playing strength" is 1165
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.70 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/03/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 10/24/15)
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