| Overall | 13W 5L 2T |
| District | 5W 3L 2T |
| Expected | 14: 2+ 4- |
":" = Games won or lost as expected,
"+" = Games won against stronger team,
"-" = Games lost against weaker team)
|
17 6 3 Rank in State, Class, District |
1206 26 Strength Momentum |
1124 54.5(27) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) | |
| Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/21/15 | at Artesia | 0.002 | 1014 | W 3- 2 | Expected (-1) | 1176 | 69% |  |
| 08/22/15 | at Belen !! | 0.001 | 1170 | W 3- 0 | Expected (+3) | 1355 | 50% | |
| 08/22/15 | at Goddard ?? | 0.002 | 1166 | L 1- 3 | Worse (-2) | 1102 | 50% | |
| 08/25/15 | Socorro | 0.003 | 1287 | L 2- 3 | Expected (-1) | 1181 | 43% | |
| 09/03/15 | Miyamura | 0.016 | 730 | W 3- 1 | Expected (-3) | 1052 | 95% | |
| 09/08/15 | at Del Norte | 0.031 | 823 | W 2- 0 | Expected (-1) | 1131 | 87% | |
| 09/12/15 | Highland | 0.060 | 830 | W 3- 1 | Expected (-2) | 1102 | 89% | |
| 09/15/15 | Atrisco Heritage | 0.059 | 924 | W 6- 1 | Expected (+2) | 1301 | 83% | |
| 09/16/15 | at Grants | 0.064 | 797 | W 4- 0 | Expected (0) | 1219 | 88% | |
| 09/22/15 | Chaparral | 0.028 | 1082 | W 10- 0 | Expected (+8) | 1648 | 67% | |
| 09/24/15 | at Goddard | 0.208 | 1166 | W 3- 1 | Expected (+2) | 1302 | 50% | |
| 09/26/15 | Belen ! | 0.257 | 1170 | W 4- 1 | Expected (+2) | 1323 | 58% | |
| 09/29/15 | at Centennial | 0.359 | 1292 | L 0- 2 | Expected (-1) | 1165 | 37% | |
| 10/03/15 | Santa Teresa | 0.386 | 1080 | W 4- 0 | Expected (+2) | 1328 | 67% | |
| 10/07/15 | at Los Lunas | 0.630 | 1217 | T 1- 1 | Better (0) | 1227 | 45% | |
| 10/10/15 | at Chaparral | 0.547 | 1082 | W 3- 0 | Expected (+2) | 1311 | 60% | |
| 10/13/15 | at Belen | 0.824 | 1170 | L 1- 2 | Worse (-1) | 1154 | 50% | |
| 10/17/15 | Centennial | 0.923 | 1292 | W 3- 2 | Better (+2) | 1283 | 44% | |
| 10/20/15 | at Santa Teresa | 0.967 | 1080 | T 0- 0 | Worse (-1) | 1159 | 60% | |
| 10/23/15 | Los Lunas ? | 0.941 | 1217 | L 2- 3 | Worse (-1) | 1145 | 52% | |
|
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Valencia actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 1124, while
Valencia's "weighted playing strength" is 1220
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.70 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/03/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 10/24/15)
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