23 8 1 Rank in State, Class, District |
1166 -56 Strength Momentum |
1042 55.9(22) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) |
Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
08/21/15 | Portales | 0.001 | 799 | W 5- 0 | Expected (+1) | 1219 | 92% | |
08/22/15 | Valencia !! | 0.002 | 1206 | W 3- 1 | Better (+2) | 1270 | 50% | |
08/22/15 | at Roswell | 0.002 | 1071 | W 2- 0 | Expected (+1) | 1235 | 59% | |
08/25/15 | at Ruidoso | 0.001 | 827 | W 8- 0 | Expected (+5) | 1422 | 86% | |
08/27/15 | Hobbs ! | 0.004 | 1197 | W 5- 1 | Expected (+4) | 1367 | 51% | |
09/01/15 | at Clovis | 0.012 | 1246 | T 1- 1 | Better (+1) | 1222 | 36% | |
09/10/15 | at Gadsden | 0.036 | 872 | W 3- 0 | Expected (0) | 1186 | 81% | |
09/15/15 | Carlsbad | 0.091 | 1178 | T 2- 2 | Worse (0) | 1156 | 53% | |
09/19/15 | Alamogordo ?? | 0.137 | 1003 | L 1- 2 | Worse (-3) | 1019 | 74% | |
09/22/15 | at Hobbs ? | 0.192 | 1197 | L 1- 3 | Expected (-1) | 1097 | 42% | |
09/24/15 | Valencia | 0.208 | 1206 | L 1- 3 | Expected (-2) | 1070 | 50% | |
10/01/15 | at Portales | 0.118 | 799 | W 7- 0 | Expected (+4) | 1355 | 88% | |
10/06/15 | at Roswell | 0.596 | 1071 | T 1- 1 | Worse (-1) | 1134 | 59% | |
10/10/15 | Artesia | 0.704 | 1014 | W 2- 0 | Expected (0) | 1174 | 73% | |
10/15/15 | at Lovington | 0.239 | 629 | W 7- 0 | Expected (+2) | 1270 | 97% | |
10/17/15 | at Roswell | 0.873 | 1071 | W 2- 1 | Expected (0) | 1184 | 59% | |
10/20/15 | at Artesia | 0.919 | 1014 | W 2- 1 | Expected (0) | 1156 | 66% | |
10/22/15 | Lovington | 0.137 | 629 | W 10- 0 | Expected (+4) | 1401 | 98% |
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Goddard actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 1042, while
Goddard's "weighted playing strength" is 1171
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.70 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/03/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 10/24/15)
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