49 10 2 Rank in State, Class, District |
827 -23 Strength Momentum |
895 43.9(45) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) |
Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
08/25/15 | Goddard | 0.001 | 1166 | L 0- 8 | Expected (-5) | 571 | 14% | |
08/27/15 | at Artesia | 0.005 | 1014 | L 1- 3 | Expected (0) | 836 | 23% | |
09/05/15 | at Lovington ?? | 0.012 | 629 | L 1- 7 | Worse (-8) | 440 | 71% | |
09/15/15 | Lovington | 0.088 | 629 | W 5- 3 | Expected (0) | 812 | 78% | |
09/17/15 | Portales ! | 0.116 | 799 | W 4- 3 | Expected (0) | 847 | 58% | |
09/19/15 | at Silver | 0.128 | 895 | L 2- 5 | Expected (-2) | 726 | 37% | |
09/22/15 | Hatch | 0.176 | 782 | W 5- 2 | Expected (+2) | 939 | 60% | |
09/24/15 | at East Mountain | 0.188 | 1024 | L 1- 5 | Expected (-2) | 740 | 21% | |
09/26/15 | Silver | 0.289 | 895 | T 2- 2 | Better (0) | 845 | 45% | |
09/28/15 | at Socorro | 0.138 | 1287 | L 0- 7 | Expected (-2) | 716 | 4% | |
09/29/15 | Roswell ? | 0.030 | 1071 | L 0-10 | Expected (-8) | 413 | 24% | |
10/03/15 | at Portales !! | 0.471 | 799 | W 4- 3 | Better (+1) | 879 | 49% | |
10/08/15 | at Hatch | 0.631 | 782 | W 3- 2 | Expected (+1) | 870 | 52% | |
10/15/15 | Socorro | 0.110 | 1287 | L 0- 9 | Expected (-5) | 577 | 7% | |
10/19/15 | at East Mountain | 0.846 | 1024 | L 0- 3 | Expected (-1) | 791 | 21% |
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Ruidoso actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 895, while
Ruidoso's "weighted playing strength" is 814
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.70 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/03/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 10/24/15)
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