53 11 3 Rank in State, Class, District |
799 -39 Strength Momentum |
920 37.6(62) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) |
Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
08/21/15 | at Goddard | 0.001 | 1166 | L 0- 5 | Expected (-1) | 746 | 8% | |
08/22/15 | at Artesia ?? | 0.001 | 1014 | L 1- 6 | Expected (-3) | 670 | 20% | |
08/22/15 | at Lovington ! | 0.001 | 629 | W 4- 1 | Expected (+2) | 880 | 68% | |
08/29/15 | at Roswell ? | 0.002 | 1071 | L 0- 8 | Expected (-5) | 541 | 15% | |
09/01/15 | Moriarty | 0.011 | 702 | L 2- 3 | Worse (-2) | 684 | 67% | |
09/05/15 | at Clovis | 0.003 | 1246 | L 0-10 | Expected (-5) | 519 | 5% | |
09/08/15 | Lovington | 0.032 | 629 | W 5- 2 | Expected (+1) | 849 | 76% | |
09/10/15 | Desert Academy | 0.037 | 564 | W 6- 2 | Expected (+1) | 867 | 82% | |
09/12/15 | Pojoaque !! | 0.060 | 689 | W 3- 1 | Expected (+1) | 828 | 69% | |
09/17/15 | at Ruidoso | 0.116 | 827 | L 3- 4 | Expected (0) | 779 | 42% | |
09/19/15 | at Santa Fe Prep | 0.145 | 654 | T 2- 2 | Worse (-1) | 742 | 65% | |
09/21/15 | at Lovington | 0.180 | 629 | L 1- 2 | Worse (-2) | 680 | 68% | |
09/26/15 | Artesia | 0.217 | 1014 | L 1- 4 | Expected (-1) | 740 | 27% | |
10/01/15 | Goddard | 0.118 | 1166 | L 0- 7 | Expected (-4) | 610 | 12% | |
10/03/15 | Ruidoso | 0.471 | 827 | L 3- 4 | Worse (-1) | 747 | 51% | |
10/06/15 | Clovis | 0.048 | 1246 | L 0-10 | Expected (-6) | 487 | 8% | |
10/09/15 | East Mountain | 0.602 | 1024 | L 1- 3 | Expected (0) | 795 | 25% | |
10/24/15 | at East Mountain | 0.958 | 1024 | L 0- 2 | Expected (+1) | 827 | 19% |
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Portales actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 920, while
Portales's "weighted playing strength" is 773
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.70 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/03/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 10/24/15)
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