61 17 3 Rank in State, Class, District |
689 62 Strength Momentum |
761 40.4(57) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) |
Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
08/24/15 | at Socorro | 0.000 | 1287 | L 0-10 | Expected (-4) | 484 | 1% | |
08/27/15 | Santa Fe Indian ! | 0.005 | 686 | W 3- 2 | Expected (+1) | 722 | 55% | |
09/01/15 | at ATC | 0.011 | 393 | W 1- 0 | Expected (-2) | 607 | 82% | |
09/05/15 | Monte del Sol | 0.022 | 698 | L 2- 3 | Worse (-1) | 627 | 53% | |
09/08/15 | Desert Academy | 0.034 | 564 | L 1- 2 | Worse (-3) | 561 | 70% | |
09/12/15 | at Portales | 0.060 | 799 | L 1- 3 | Expected (-1) | 660 | 31% | |
09/14/15 | Socorro | 0.006 | 1287 | L 0-10 | Expected (-4) | 452 | 2% | |
09/17/15 | at Santa Fe Indian | 0.116 | 686 | L 0- 1 | Expected (-1) | 654 | 46% | |
09/19/15 | at Grants ? | 0.058 | 797 | L 0- 7 | Expected (-6) | 402 | 32% | |
09/22/15 | Santa Fe Prep | 0.199 | 654 | W 3- 2 | Expected (0) | 705 | 59% | |
09/24/15 | at Bernalillo | 0.158 | 836 | L 0- 5 | Expected (-3) | 526 | 27% | |
09/26/15 | Bloomfield | 0.275 | 761 | L 1- 2 | Expected (-1) | 659 | 45% | |
10/01/15 | at Capital | 0.282 | 947 | L 0- 5 | Expected (-2) | 582 | 16% | |
10/03/15 | Robertson ?? | 0.309 | 717 | L 0- 4 | Worse (-4) | 486 | 50% | |
10/05/15 | Taos | 0.535 | 952 | L 2- 3 | Expected (+1) | 755 | 22% | |
10/15/15 | at Robertson !! | 0.830 | 717 | W 1- 0 | Better (+2) | 769 | 42% | |
10/19/15 | at Taos | 0.501 | 952 | L 2- 8 | Expected (-3) | 532 | 16% |
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Pojoaque actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 761, while
Pojoaque's "weighted playing strength" is 650
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.70 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/03/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 10/24/15)
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