39 7 1 Rank in State, Class, District |
952 -184 Strength Momentum |
717 54.8(26) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) |
Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
08/28/15 | Bernalillo | 0.006 | 836 | W 2- 0 | Expected (+1) | 978 | 69% | |
08/28/15 | Silver !! | 0.004 | 895 | W 6- 1 | Expected (+4) | 1160 | 62% | |
08/29/15 | East Mountain | 0.007 | 1024 | W 2- 1 | Better (+1) | 1022 | 44% | |
09/01/15 | Santa Fe Indian | 0.006 | 686 | W 8- 2 | Expected (+3) | 1107 | 85% | |
09/08/15 | at Santa Fe Prep | 0.027 | 654 | W 3- 0 | Expected (0) | 969 | 82% | |
09/12/15 | at Monte del Sol | 0.047 | 698 | W 5- 2 | Expected (+1) | 991 | 78% | |
09/16/15 | at Desert Academy | 0.051 | 564 | W 6- 1 | Expected (+1) | 1026 | 89% | |
09/23/15 | St. Michael's ? | 0.109 | 1182 | L 0- 5 | Expected (-3) | 799 | 25% | |
09/26/15 | at Los Alamos | 0.257 | 1191 | L 0- 3 | Expected (0) | 937 | 17% | |
09/28/15 | Bernalillo ! | 0.224 | 836 | W 5- 0 | Expected (+4) | 1130 | 69% | |
10/01/15 | at Bosque ?? | 0.128 | 1089 | L 0- 8 | Expected (-6) | 627 | 28% | |
10/05/15 | at Pojoaque | 0.535 | 689 | W 3- 2 | Expected (-1) | 887 | 78% | |
10/08/15 | Robertson | 0.517 | 717 | W 4- 0 | Expected (+1) | 1020 | 82% | |
10/17/15 | at Robertson | 0.873 | 717 | W 2- 1 | Expected (-1) | 900 | 75% | |
10/19/15 | Pojoaque | 0.501 | 689 | W 8- 2 | Expected (+3) | 1109 | 84% |
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Taos actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 717, while
Taos's "weighted playing strength" is 958
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.70 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/03/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 10/24/15)
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