28 5 3 Rank in State, Class, District |
1089 -89 Strength Momentum |
893 57.7(17) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) |
Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
08/25/15 | Los Alamos | 0.003 | 1191 | T 1- 1 | Better (+1) | 1124 | 40% | |
08/28/15 | at Farmington ?? | 0.005 | 1352 | L 1- 5 | Expected (-1) | 1036 | 15% | |
08/29/15 | Santa Fe ! | 0.001 | 877 | W 9- 0 | Expected (+7) | 1432 | 80% | |
08/29/15 | Clovis | 0.007 | 1246 | T 0- 0 | Better (+1) | 1152 | 34% | |
09/08/15 | Rehoboth Christian | 0.005 | 802 | W 10- 0 | Expected (+7) | 1450 | 87% | |
09/12/15 | at Bloomfield | 0.059 | 761 | W 1- 0 | Expected (-2) | 991 | 85% | |
09/15/15 | at Sandia Prep | 0.086 | 1186 | W 1- 0 | Better (+2) | 1204 | 33% | |
09/19/15 | Hope Christian | 0.125 | 1348 | L 1- 3 | Expected (0) | 1102 | 21% | |
09/22/15 | Navajo Prep | 0.028 | 506 | W 10- 0 | Expected (+4) | 1302 | 99% | |
09/24/15 | at Monte del Sol | 0.181 | 698 | W 3- 0 | Expected (-1) | 1060 | 90% | |
10/01/15 | Taos !! | 0.128 | 952 | W 8- 0 | Expected (+6) | 1415 | 72% | |
10/03/15 | Kirtland Central | 0.479 | 893 | W 3- 1 | Expected (0) | 1075 | 79% | |
10/05/15 | at Navajo Prep | 0.154 | 506 | W 7- 0 | Expected (+2) | 1170 | 98% | |
10/07/15 | at Rehoboth Christian | 0.393 | 802 | W 5- 1 | Expected (+1) | 1163 | 81% | |
10/13/15 | Sandia Prep | 0.780 | 1186 | L 2- 3 | Expected (0) | 1072 | 41% | |
10/16/15 | at Hope Christian | 0.796 | 1348 | L 0- 3 | Expected (0) | 1084 | 15% | |
10/17/15 | Santa Fe Prep | 0.715 | 654 | W 4- 0 | Expected (-1) | 1057 | 96% | |
10/20/15 | Bloomfield | 0.508 | 761 | W 6- 0 | Expected (+2) | 1213 | 90% | |
10/22/15 | at Kirtland Central | 0.937 | 893 | W 2- 1 | Expected (-1) | 1057 | 72% | |
10/24/15 | at St. Michael's | 0.997 | 1182 | L 0- 1 | Expected (0) | 1102 | 33% |
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Bosque actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 893, while
Bosque's "weighted playing strength" is 1103
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.70 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/03/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 10/24/15)
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