6 1 1 Rank in State, Class, District |
1352 -107 Strength Momentum |
1141 66.0(2) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) |
Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
08/22/15 | at Los Alamos | 0.002 | 1191 | W 3- 1 | Expected (+1) | 1388 | 67% | |
08/28/15 | Bosque | 0.005 | 1089 | W 5- 1 | Expected (+1) | 1406 | 85% | |
08/28/15 | at Clovis !! | 0.003 | 1246 | W 5- 0 | Expected (+4) | 1567 | 60% | |
08/29/15 | Santa Fe | 0.001 | 877 | W 10- 0 | Expected (+5) | 1619 | 97% | |
09/03/15 | Kirtland Central | 0.005 | 893 | W 8- 0 | Expected (+3) | 1517 | 97% | |
09/10/15 | Mayfield | 0.031 | 1123 | W 5- 0 | Expected (+2) | 1474 | 81% | |
09/11/15 | Hope Christian | 0.052 | 1348 | W 2- 0 | Expected (+2) | 1434 | 55% | |
09/12/15 | at Aztec | 0.039 | 1158 | W 4- 0 | Expected (+2) | 1472 | 71% | |
09/15/15 | Cleveland | 0.091 | 1459 | W 1- 0 | Better (+2) | 1440 | 40% | |
09/19/15 | at St. Pius ?? | 0.140 | 1282 | L 1- 3 | Worse (-2) | 1233 | 55% | |
09/22/15 | Piedra Vista | 0.176 | 1031 | W 3- 0 | Expected (-1) | 1326 | 90% | |
09/24/15 | at Aztec | 0.181 | 1158 | W 3- 0 | Expected (+1) | 1422 | 71% | |
09/26/15 | at Hope Christian ? | 0.291 | 1348 | L 1- 2 | Expected (-1) | 1316 | 47% | |
09/29/15 | Gallup | 0.052 | 642 | W 10- 0 | Expected (+3) | 1501 | 100% | |
10/06/15 | at Miyamura | 0.224 | 730 | W 6- 0 | Expected (0) | 1361 | 99% | |
10/08/15 | at Piedra Vista | 0.573 | 1031 | W 2- 0 | Expected (-1) | 1308 | 85% | |
10/13/15 | Aztec ! | 0.330 | 1158 | W 7- 0 | Expected (+5) | 1596 | 78% | |
10/15/15 | at Gallup | 0.070 | 642 | W 11- 1 | Expected (+3) | 1533 | 100% | |
10/17/15 | Albuquerque Academy | 0.923 | 1330 | W 2- 1 | Expected (0) | 1375 | 58% | |
10/22/15 | Miyamura | 0.645 | 730 | W 5- 0 | Expected (-1) | 1278 | 99% |
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Farmington actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 1141, while
Farmington's "weighted playing strength" is 1366
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.70 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/03/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 10/24/15)
Go back to ratings for Boys Varsity Girls Varsity Main Page