2015 Season results for Clovis (GV,4-6A)

15   9   1
Rank in
State, Class, District
1246     129
Strength     Momentum
1071   59.9(12)
SOS,       RPI(RPI Rank)

Season Records:
Overall  13W   4L   3T 
District  4W   1L   1T 
Expected  15:   0+   5- 
("W L T" = Win Loss Tie,
":" = Games won or lost as expected,
"+" = Games won against stronger team,
"-" = Games lost against weaker team)

DateOpponent1 RGWF4 Opp
Strength
ResultExpectation2Playing
Strength
P(Win)3Send
EMail
08/18/15 Lovington 0.000629W 10- 0 Expected (+4)1441 99%
08/28/15 Santa Fe 0.003877W 8- 2 Expected (+2)1350 92%
08/28/15 Farmington 0.0031352L 0- 5 Expected (-4)1031 40%
08/29/15 at Bosque 0.0071089T 0- 0 Worse (-1)1183 66%
09/01/15 Goddard 0.0121166T 1- 1 Worse (-1)1190 64%
09/05/15 Portales 0.003799W 10- 0 Expected (+5)1526 95%
09/08/15 at Roswell 0.0341071W 5- 4 Expected (0)1224 68%
09/11/15 at West Mesa 0.041870W 3- 0 Expected (0)1224 88%
09/12/15 at La Cueva 0.0131338L 0- 9 Expected (-8) 843 34%
09/15/15 at Artesia !! 0.0451014W 6- 1 Expected (+3)1398 75%
09/17/15 Roswell 0.0901071W 4- 0 Expected (+2)1343 75%
09/19/15 at Lovington 0.012629W 10- 0 Expected (+4)1473 98%
09/22/15 at Las Cruces ?? 0.1921155L 1- 3 Worse (-3)1116 57%
09/26/15 at Carlsbad 0.2891178T 2- 2 Worse (0)1228 55%
09/29/15 Hobbs 0.3591197W 2- 0 Expected (+1)1305 61%
10/06/15 at Portales ! 0.048799W 10- 0 Expected (+6)1558 92%
10/10/15 at Alamogordo 0.5471003W 4- 1 Expected (+1)1291 76%
10/17/15 Carlsbad 0.9231178W 1- 0 Expected (0)1246 63%
10/20/15 at Hobbs ? 0.9721197L 0- 1 Worse (-1)1187 52%
10/24/15 Alamogordo 0.7731003W 4- 0 Expected (+1)1310 82%
      Notes:
      1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game
         Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Clovis actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted
      2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin
      3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference
      4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game
      * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage

The median opponent strength is 1071, while
Clovis's "weighted playing strength" is 1254
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.70 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/03/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 10/24/15)

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