15 9 1 Rank in State, Class, District |
1246 129 Strength Momentum |
1071 59.9(12) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) |
Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
08/18/15 | Lovington | 0.000 | 629 | W 10- 0 | Expected (+4) | 1441 | 99% | |
08/28/15 | Santa Fe | 0.003 | 877 | W 8- 2 | Expected (+2) | 1350 | 92% | |
08/28/15 | Farmington | 0.003 | 1352 | L 0- 5 | Expected (-4) | 1031 | 40% | |
08/29/15 | at Bosque | 0.007 | 1089 | T 0- 0 | Worse (-1) | 1183 | 66% | |
09/01/15 | Goddard | 0.012 | 1166 | T 1- 1 | Worse (-1) | 1190 | 64% | |
09/05/15 | Portales | 0.003 | 799 | W 10- 0 | Expected (+5) | 1526 | 95% | |
09/08/15 | at Roswell | 0.034 | 1071 | W 5- 4 | Expected (0) | 1224 | 68% | |
09/11/15 | at West Mesa | 0.041 | 870 | W 3- 0 | Expected (0) | 1224 | 88% | |
09/12/15 | at La Cueva | 0.013 | 1338 | L 0- 9 | Expected (-8) | 843 | 34% | |
09/15/15 | at Artesia !! | 0.045 | 1014 | W 6- 1 | Expected (+3) | 1398 | 75% | |
09/17/15 | Roswell | 0.090 | 1071 | W 4- 0 | Expected (+2) | 1343 | 75% | |
09/19/15 | at Lovington | 0.012 | 629 | W 10- 0 | Expected (+4) | 1473 | 98% | |
09/22/15 | at Las Cruces ?? | 0.192 | 1155 | L 1- 3 | Worse (-3) | 1116 | 57% | |
09/26/15 | at Carlsbad | 0.289 | 1178 | T 2- 2 | Worse (0) | 1228 | 55% | |
09/29/15 | Hobbs | 0.359 | 1197 | W 2- 0 | Expected (+1) | 1305 | 61% | |
10/06/15 | at Portales ! | 0.048 | 799 | W 10- 0 | Expected (+6) | 1558 | 92% | |
10/10/15 | at Alamogordo | 0.547 | 1003 | W 4- 1 | Expected (+1) | 1291 | 76% | |
10/17/15 | Carlsbad | 0.923 | 1178 | W 1- 0 | Expected (0) | 1246 | 63% | |
10/20/15 | at Hobbs ? | 0.972 | 1197 | L 0- 1 | Worse (-1) | 1187 | 52% | |
10/24/15 | Alamogordo | 0.773 | 1003 | W 4- 0 | Expected (+1) | 1310 | 82% |
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Clovis actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 1071, while
Clovis's "weighted playing strength" is 1254
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.70 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/03/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 10/24/15)
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