Strength
Strength
|
58 20 4 Rank in State, Class, District |
730 -144 Strength Momentum |
962 42.0(51) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) |
| Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/21/15 | at Aztec | 0.001 | 1158 | L 0- 4 | Expected (+1) | 759 | 4% | |
| 08/21/15 | at Kirtland Central | 0.002 | 893 | L 1- 3 | Expected (0) | 728 | 25% | |
| 08/25/15 | Bloomfield | 0.003 | 761 | W 2- 1 | Expected (+1) | 779 | 50% | |
| 08/27/15 | at Rehoboth Christian ! | 0.004 | 802 | W 4- 2 | Better (+3) | 882 | 36% | |
| 09/03/15 | at Valencia | 0.016 | 1206 | L 1- 3 | Expected (+3) | 884 | 5% | |
| 09/05/15 | Belen | 0.017 | 1170 | L 0- 3 | Expected (+1) | 784 | 10% | |
| 09/09/15 | at Grants | 0.041 | 797 | L 2- 3 | Expected (0) | 729 | 37% | |
| 09/12/15 | at Santa Fe ?? | 0.048 | 877 | L 0- 4 | Expected (-2) | 619 | 27% | |
| 09/17/15 | Navajo Prep | 0.075 | 506 | W 6- 1 | Expected (+2) | 854 | 81% | |
| 09/19/15 | Del Norte !! | 0.145 | 823 | W 2- 1 | Better (+2) | 811 | 42% | |
| 09/24/15 | at Gallup | 0.241 | 642 | T 1- 1 | Worse (-1) | 702 | 57% | |
| 09/29/15 | at Piedra Vista | 0.359 | 1031 | L 0- 2 | Expected (+1) | 797 | 12% | |
| 10/01/15 | at Aztec | 0.089 | 1158 | L 0- 9 | Expected (-4) | 496 | 4% | |
| 10/06/15 | Farmington | 0.224 | 1352 | L 0- 6 | Expected (0) | 721 | 1% | |
| 10/13/15 | Gallup | 0.824 | 642 | W 1- 0 | Expected (0) | 720 | 66% | |
| 10/15/15 | Piedra Vista ? | 0.433 | 1031 | L 0- 5 | Expected (-2) | 612 | 17% | |
| 10/20/15 | at Aztec | 0.633 | 1158 | L 0- 5 | Expected (0) | 708 | 4% | |
| 10/22/15 | at Farmington | 0.645 | 1352 | L 0- 5 | Expected (+1) | 805 | 1% | |
|
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Miyamura actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 962, while
Miyamura's "weighted playing strength" is 727
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.70 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/03/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 10/24/15)
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