53 19 3 Rank in State, Class, District |
797 -416 Strength Momentum |
819 51.0(31) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) |
Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
08/21/15 | at Socorro | 0.001 | 1287 | L 1- 5 | Expected (+1) | 857 | 3% | |
08/22/15 | at Hatch ! | 0.000 | 782 | W 10- 0 | Better (+10) | 1325 | 48% | |
08/22/15 | at Monte del Sol | 698 | F 1--1 | Forfeit +1 | --- | 59% | ||
09/01/15 | Rehoboth Christian | 0.012 | 802 | W 2- 1 | Expected (+1) | 834 | 53% | |
09/03/15 | at Gallup | 0.008 | 642 | W 5- 0 | Expected (+4) | 988 | 66% | |
09/05/15 | at Piedra Vista ?? | 0.003 | 1031 | L 1-11 | Expected (-7) | 410 | 18% | |
09/09/15 | Miyamura | 0.041 | 730 | W 3- 2 | Expected (0) | 797 | 63% | |
09/12/15 | at Bernalillo !! | 0.059 | 836 | W 2- 1 | Better (+2) | 882 | 40% | |
09/16/15 | Valencia | 0.064 | 1206 | L 0- 4 | Expected (0) | 784 | 12% | |
09/19/15 | Pojoaque | 0.058 | 689 | W 7- 0 | Expected (+6) | 1084 | 68% | |
09/22/15 | at Socorro | 0.104 | 1287 | L 1- 7 | Expected (-1) | 754 | 3% | |
09/24/15 | Navajo Prep | 0.233 | 506 | W 2- 0 | Expected (-1) | 735 | 87% | |
10/06/15 | at Albuquerque Academy | 0.083 | 1330 | L 0-10 | Expected (-4) | 559 | 2% | |
10/08/15 | Moriarty | 0.667 | 702 | W 3- 2 | Expected (0) | 783 | 66% | |
10/13/15 | St. Pius ? | 0.065 | 1282 | L 0-10 | Expected (-5) | 504 | 5% | |
10/15/15 | Albuquerque Academy | 0.070 | 1330 | L 0-10 | Expected (-5) | 527 | 4% | |
10/22/15 | at St. Pius | 0.137 | 1282 | L 0-10 | Expected (-5) | 536 | 3% | |
10/23/15 | at Moriarty | 0.941 | 702 | W 3- 2 | Expected (0) | 815 | 58% |
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Grants actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 819, while
Grants's "weighted playing strength" is 765
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.70 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/03/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 10/24/15)
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