| Overall | 13W 6L 0T |
| District | 6W 2L 0T |
| Expected | 15: 4+ 0- |
":" = Games won or lost as expected,
"+" = Games won against stronger team,
"-" = Games lost against weaker team)
|
25 10 2 Rank in State, Class, District |
1158 -199 Strength Momentum |
1217 56.7(20) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) | |
| Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/21/15 | Miyamura | 0.001 | 730 | W 4- 0 | Expected (-1) | 1129 | 96% |  |
| 08/21/15 | Los Lunas | 0.001 | 1217 | W 4- 0 | Better (+4) | 1372 | 48% | |
| 08/22/15 | St. Pius ?? | 0.001 | 1282 | L 0- 3 | Expected (-2) | 1054 | 38% | |
| 08/29/15 | Los Lunas | 0.007 | 1217 | W 2- 0 | Better (+2) | 1271 | 48% | |
| 09/01/15 | Kirtland Central ! | 0.002 | 893 | W 10- 0 | Expected (+7) | 1529 | 85% | |
| 09/03/15 | at Bernalillo | 0.003 | 836 | W 8- 0 | Expected (+5) | 1423 | 85% | |
| 09/05/15 | St. Pius | 0.022 | 1282 | L 1- 2 | Expected (0) | 1154 | 38% | |
| 09/10/15 | Centennial !! | 0.025 | 1292 | W 6- 0 | Better (+7) | 1513 | 39% | |
| 09/11/15 | at Albuquerque Academy | 0.047 | 1330 | W 2- 0 | Better (+4) | 1360 | 24% | |
| 09/12/15 | Farmington | 0.039 | 1352 | L 0- 4 | Expected (-2) | 1038 | 29% | |
| 09/22/15 | Gallup | 0.028 | 642 | W 10- 0 | Expected (+5) | 1404 | 98% | |
| 09/24/15 | Farmington | 0.181 | 1352 | L 0- 3 | Expected (-1) | 1089 | 29% | |
| 09/29/15 | at Albuquerque Academy | 0.373 | 1330 | L 0- 1 | Expected (+1) | 1210 | 24% | |
| 10/01/15 | Miyamura | 0.089 | 730 | W 9- 0 | Expected (+4) | 1392 | 96% | |
| 10/06/15 | Piedra Vista | 0.576 | 1031 | W 3- 1 | Expected (0) | 1179 | 71% | |
| 10/08/15 | at Gallup | 0.083 | 642 | W 9- 0 | Expected (+4) | 1380 | 96% | |
| 10/13/15 | at Farmington ? | 0.330 | 1352 | L 0- 7 | Expected (-5) | 915 | 22% | |
| 10/20/15 | Miyamura | 0.633 | 730 | W 5- 0 | Expected (0) | 1180 | 96% | |
| 10/22/15 | at Piedra Vista | 0.937 | 1031 | W 1- 0 | Expected (0) | 1161 | 63% | |
|
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Aztec actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 1217, while
Aztec's "weighted playing strength" is 1163
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.70 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/03/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 10/24/15)
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