4 4 1 Rank in State, Class, District |
1399 128 Strength Momentum |
1119 61.5(7) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) |
Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
08/25/15 | Highland | 0.003 | 845 | W 3- 0 | Expected (-3) | 1263 | 96% | |
08/27/15 | Volcano Vista !! | 0.004 | 1371 | W 4- 0 | Expected (+4) | 1576 | 56% | |
08/29/15 | Valley | 0.006 | 1076 | W 3- 0 | Expected (0) | 1378 | 85% | |
09/02/15 | Albuquerque Academy ?? | 0.014 | 1387 | L 0- 1 | Worse (-1) | 1333 | 54% | |
09/04/15 | Eldorado | 0.018 | 1070 | W 2- 0 | Expected (-1) | 1325 | 85% | |
09/09/15 | La Cueva ! | 0.035 | 1218 | W 3- 0 | Expected (+1) | 1449 | 74% | |
09/12/15 | Rio Rancho | 0.060 | 1418 | L 0- 1 | Worse (-1) | 1349 | 51% | |
09/17/15 | at Sandia Prep | 0.111 | 1057 | W 2- 1 | Expected (-2) | 1287 | 84% | |
09/19/15 | at Cibola | 0.144 | 1414 | L 1- 2 | Expected (-1) | 1366 | 46% | |
09/23/15 | at Atrisco Heritage | 0.211 | 1338 | W 1- 0 | Expected (+1) | 1428 | 55% | |
09/26/15 | Albuquerque Academy ? | 0.279 | 1387 | L 0- 1 | Worse (-1) | 1333 | 54% | |
09/30/15 | Valley | 0.287 | 1076 | W 4- 0 | Expected (+1) | 1429 | 85% | |
10/03/15 | Rio Grande | 0.355 | 936 | W 4- 0 | Expected (-1) | 1359 | 92% | |
10/07/15 | West Mesa | 0.592 | 1119 | W 2- 0 | Expected (-1) | 1350 | 82% | |
10/10/15 | Atrisco Heritage | 0.733 | 1338 | T 0- 0 | Worse (-1) | 1359 | 60% | |
10/17/15 | at Valley | 0.573 | 1076 | W 4- 0 | Expected (+1) | 1448 | 82% | |
10/23/15 | at West Mesa | 0.483 | 1119 | W 5- 0 | Expected (+2) | 1521 | 79% | |
10/24/15 | Rio Grande | 0.092 | 936 | W 10- 0 | Expected (+5) | 1678 | 92% |
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Albuquerque actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 1119, while
Albuquerque's "weighted playing strength" is 1403
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.66 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/03/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 10/24/15)
Go back to ratings for Boys Varsity Girls Varsity Main Page