2015 Season results for Albuquerque (BV,5-6A)

4   4   1
Rank in
State, Class, District
1399     128
Strength     Momentum
1119   61.5(7)
SOS,       RPI(RPI Rank)

Season Records:
Overall  13W   4L   1T 
District  7W   0L   1T 
Expected  14:   0+   4- 
("W L T" = Win Loss Tie,
":" = Games won or lost as expected,
"+" = Games won against stronger team,
"-" = Games lost against weaker team)

DateOpponent1 RGWF4 Opp
Strength
ResultExpectation2Playing
Strength
P(Win)3Send
EMail
08/25/15 Highland 0.003845W 3- 0 Expected (-3)1263 96%
08/27/15 Volcano Vista !! 0.0041371W 4- 0 Expected (+4)1576 56%
08/29/15 Valley 0.0061076W 3- 0 Expected (0)1378 85%
09/02/15 Albuquerque Academy ?? 0.0141387L 0- 1 Worse (-1)1333 54%
09/04/15 Eldorado 0.0181070W 2- 0 Expected (-1)1325 85%
09/09/15 La Cueva ! 0.0351218W 3- 0 Expected (+1)1449 74%
09/12/15 Rio Rancho 0.0601418L 0- 1 Worse (-1)1349 51%
09/17/15 at Sandia Prep 0.1111057W 2- 1 Expected (-2)1287 84%
09/19/15 at Cibola 0.1441414L 1- 2 Expected (-1)1366 46%
09/23/15 at Atrisco Heritage 0.2111338W 1- 0 Expected (+1)1428 55%
09/26/15 Albuquerque Academy ? 0.2791387L 0- 1 Worse (-1)1333 54%
09/30/15 Valley 0.2871076W 4- 0 Expected (+1)1429 85%
10/03/15 Rio Grande 0.355936W 4- 0 Expected (-1)1359 92%
10/07/15 West Mesa 0.5921119W 2- 0 Expected (-1)1350 82%
10/10/15 Atrisco Heritage 0.7331338T 0- 0 Worse (-1)1359 60%
10/17/15 at Valley 0.5731076W 4- 0 Expected (+1)1448 82%
10/23/15 at West Mesa 0.4831119W 5- 0 Expected (+2)1521 79%
10/24/15 Rio Grande 0.092936W 10- 0 Expected (+5)1678 92%
      Notes:
      1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game
         Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Albuquerque actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted
      2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin
      3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference
      4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game
      * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage

The median opponent strength is 1119, while
Albuquerque's "weighted playing strength" is 1403
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.66 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/03/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 10/24/15)

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