28 16 3 Rank in State, Class, District |
1070 -224 Strength Momentum |
1169 59.4(8) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) |
Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
08/24/15 | at Cibola !! | 0.003 | 1414 | W 1- 0 | Better (+5) | 1302 | 14% | |
08/26/15 | Manzano | 0.004 | 886 | W 2- 1 | Expected (-1) | 1019 | 75% | |
08/29/15 | West Mesa | 0.006 | 1119 | W 4- 1 | Better (+3) | 1236 | 46% | |
09/02/15 | La Cueva | 0.014 | 1218 | L 0- 1 | Expected (0) | 1084 | 33% | |
09/04/15 | at Albuquerque | 0.018 | 1399 | L 0- 2 | Expected (+1) | 1144 | 15% | |
09/08/15 | at Volcano Vista ! | 0.031 | 1371 | W 2- 0 | Better (+5) | 1330 | 17% | |
09/12/15 | at Atrisco Heritage | 0.060 | 1338 | W 3- 2 | Better (+4) | 1264 | 19% | |
09/15/15 | at Rio Rancho | 0.085 | 1418 | L 0- 2 | Expected (+2) | 1153 | 14% | |
09/18/15 | Hobbs | 0.122 | 1254 | W 4- 2 | Better (+4) | 1253 | 30% | |
09/22/15 | at Sandia ?? | 0.198 | 1114 | L 0- 1 | Expected (0) | 1051 | 41% | |
09/24/15 | St. Pius | 0.240 | 1010 | W 3- 2 | Expected (0) | 1081 | 61% | |
09/29/15 | at Manzano | 0.181 | 886 | W 5- 0 | Expected (+3) | 1240 | 71% | |
10/01/15 | La Cueva ? | 0.379 | 1218 | L 0- 2 | Expected (-1) | 1034 | 33% | |
10/06/15 | Highland | 0.560 | 845 | W 2- 0 | Expected (0) | 1048 | 78% | |
10/08/15 | Sandia | 0.661 | 1114 | W 2- 1 | Better (+1) | 1132 | 46% | |
10/15/15 | Manzano | 0.871 | 886 | W 1- 0 | Expected (-1) | 1019 | 75% | |
10/21/15 | at La Cueva | 0.919 | 1218 | L 0- 2 | Expected (0) | 1053 | 29% | |
10/23/15 | at Highland | 0.752 | 845 | W 3- 0 | Expected (+1) | 1118 | 75% |
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Eldorado actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 1169, while
Eldorado's "weighted playing strength" is 1084
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.66 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/03/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 10/24/15)
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