Strength
Strength
|
47 22 4 Rank in State, Class, District |
886 -202 Strength Momentum |
1073 43.3(49) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) |
| Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/24/15 | West Mesa | 0.003 | 1119 | T 1- 1 | Better (+2) | 993 | 25% | |
| 08/26/15 | at Eldorado | 0.004 | 1070 | L 1- 2 | Expected (+1) | 938 | 25% | |
| 08/29/15 | at Cibola | 0.007 | 1414 | L 1- 3 | Expected (+3) | 1060 | 5% | |
| 09/02/15 | Rio Rancho | 0.011 | 1418 | L 0- 3 | Expected (+2) | 992 | 6% | |
| 09/04/15 | Valley | 0.019 | 1076 | L 0- 1 | Expected (+1) | 922 | 29% | |
| 09/08/15 | Valley | 0.034 | 1076 | L 2- 3 | Expected (+1) | 922 | 29% | |
| 09/11/15 | Rio Grande ? | 0.052 | 936 | L 0- 1 | Expected (-1) | 852 | 46% | |
| 09/12/15 | at Belen !! | 0.039 | 869 | W 4- 0 | Better (+4) | 1088 | 49% | |
| 09/15/15 | at Moriarty ?? | 0.091 | 904 | L 0- 1 | Expected (-1) | 854 | 45% | |
| 09/24/15 | at La Cueva | 0.203 | 1218 | L 0- 3 | Expected (0) | 911 | 14% | |
| 09/29/15 | Eldorado | 0.181 | 1070 | L 0- 5 | Expected (-3) | 716 | 29% | |
| 10/01/15 | at Sandia | 0.406 | 1114 | L 0- 2 | Expected (0) | 909 | 22% | |
| 10/05/15 | Highland | 0.561 | 845 | W 4- 3 | Expected (0) | 906 | 58% | |
| 10/08/15 | at Highland | 0.639 | 845 | W 3- 2 | Expected (+1) | 925 | 53% | |
| 10/13/15 | La Cueva | 0.400 | 1218 | L 0- 5 | Expected (-2) | 790 | 17% | |
| 10/15/15 | at Eldorado | 0.871 | 1070 | L 0- 1 | Expected (+1) | 938 | 25% | |
| 10/22/15 | Del Norte | 0.983 | 784 | W 3- 2 | Expected (0) | 876 | 67% | |
| 10/24/15 | Sandia | 0.484 | 1114 | L 0- 5 | Expected (-3) | 738 | 25% | |
|
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Manzano actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 1073, while
Manzano's "weighted playing strength" is 877
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.66 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/03/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 10/24/15)
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