Strength
Strength
|
49 16 6 Rank in State, Class, District |
869 -94 Strength Momentum |
1165 38.8(60) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) |
| Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/20/15 | Socorro !! | 0.001 | 1047 | W 2- 1 | Better (+3) | 998 | 32% | |
| 08/22/15 | at Artesia | 0.002 | 592 | L 1- 2 | Worse (-4) | 690 | 77% | |
| 08/25/15 | Sandia Prep ?? | 0.001 | 1057 | L 2-10 | Expected (-6) | 543 | 31% | |
| 09/01/15 | Aztec | 0.012 | 938 | L 4- 5 | Expected (0) | 844 | 44% | |
| 09/10/15 | at Moriarty | 0.021 | 904 | L 1- 7 | Expected (-5) | 592 | 44% | |
| 09/11/15 | at St. Michael's | 0.046 | 870 | L 1- 4 | Expected (-3) | 729 | 48% | |
| 09/12/15 | Manzano | 0.039 | 886 | L 0- 4 | Worse (-4) | 667 | 51% | |
| 09/15/15 | West Mesa | 0.057 | 1119 | L 1- 5 | Expected (-2) | 783 | 25% | |
| 09/17/15 | Miyamura | 0.116 | 708 | T 4- 4 | Worse (-2) | 779 | 70% | |
| 09/22/15 | Santa Teresa | 0.013 | 1197 | L 0-10 | Expected (-7) | 503 | 20% | |
| 09/26/15 | Valencia | 0.019 | 1241 | L 2-12 | Expected (-6) | 526 | 17% | |
| 09/29/15 | Los Lunas ? | 0.041 | 1165 | L 1-10 | Expected (-6) | 543 | 23% | |
| 10/06/15 | at Chaparral | 0.560 | 1237 | L 2- 4 | Expected (+2) | 962 | 15% | |
| 10/10/15 | at Santa Teresa | 0.068 | 1197 | L 0-10 | Expected (-7) | 523 | 17% | |
| 10/13/15 | at Valencia | 0.267 | 1241 | L 0- 7 | Expected (-3) | 708 | 15% | |
| 10/15/15 | at Centennial | 0.197 | 1281 | L 1- 9 | Expected (-4) | 674 | 12% | |
| 10/17/15 | at Los Lunas | 0.773 | 1165 | L 0- 3 | Expected (0) | 876 | 20% | |
| 10/22/15 | Centennial | 0.065 | 1281 | L 0-10 | Expected (-6) | 545 | 15% | |
| 10/24/15 | Chaparral | 0.619 | 1237 | L 0- 4 | Expected (-1) | 842 | 17% | |
|
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Belen actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 1165, while
Belen's "weighted playing strength" is 819
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.66 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/03/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 10/24/15)
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