| Overall | 12W 7L 0T |
| District | 6W 2L 0T |
| Expected | 14: 1+ 3- |
":" = Games won or lost as expected,
"+" = Games won against stronger team,
"-" = Games lost against weaker team)
|
40 12 2 Rank in State, Class, District |
938 79 Strength Momentum |
799 45.1(44) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) | |
| Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/21/15 | Bloomfield | 0.002 | 647 | W 3- 2 | Expected (-2) | 833 | 83% |  |
| 08/22/15 | Lovington | 0.002 | 886 | L 2- 3 | Worse (-2) | 853 | 59% | |
| 08/29/15 | Robertson !! | 0.001 | 993 | W 10- 0 | Better (+10) | 1476 | 45% | |
| 09/01/15 | at Belen | 0.012 | 869 | W 5- 4 | Expected (0) | 963 | 56% | |
| 09/03/15 | at Bloomfield | 0.016 | 647 | W 3- 2 | Expected (-2) | 852 | 81% | |
| 09/05/15 | Bernalillo | 0.023 | 898 | W 4- 3 | Expected (0) | 959 | 59% | |
| 09/12/15 | at Moriarty | 0.062 | 904 | L 0- 1 | Worse (-1) | 881 | 52% | |
| 09/15/15 | Grants | 0.053 | 638 | W 5- 0 | Expected (+2) | 1031 | 84% | |
| 09/19/15 | Rehoboth Christian ?? | 0.090 | 694 | L 1- 5 | Worse (-7) | 605 | 80% | |
| 09/22/15 | at Gallup | 0.034 | 570 | W 8- 0 | Expected (+5) | 1174 | 86% | |
| 09/24/15 | at Farmington | 0.078 | 1173 | L 0- 7 | Expected (-4) | 709 | 21% | |
| 09/26/15 | at St. Pius ? | 0.243 | 1010 | L 0- 3 | Expected (-2) | 833 | 38% | |
| 10/01/15 | at Miyamura | 0.379 | 708 | W 3- 1 | Expected (0) | 933 | 75% | |
| 10/03/15 | at Durango | L 2- 5 | --- | --- | --- | | ||
| 10/08/15 | Gallup | 0.661 | 570 | W 1- 0 | Expected (-3) | 795 | 88% | |
| 10/10/15 | at Piedra Vista | 0.702 | 799 | W 4- 3 | Expected (0) | 928 | 66% | |
| 10/13/15 | Farmington | 0.790 | 1173 | L 3- 4 | Expected (+1) | 996 | 24% | |
| 10/20/15 | Miyamura | 0.218 | 708 | W 8- 0 | Expected (+6) | 1223 | 78% | |
| 10/22/15 | Piedra Vista ! | 0.320 | 799 | W 7- 0 | Expected (+5) | 1216 | 70% | |
|
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Aztec actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 799, while
Aztec's "weighted playing strength" is 946
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.66 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/03/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 10/24/15)
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