| Overall | 12W 8L 0T |
| District | 3W 3L 0T |
| Expected | 16: 3+ 1- |
":" = Games won or lost as expected,
"+" = Games won against stronger team,
"-" = Games lost against weaker team)
|
47 15 2 Rank in State, Class, District |
886 -166 Strength Momentum |
903 51.2(35) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) | |
| Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/18/15 | at Clovis | 0.001 | 1176 | L 1- 2 | Expected (+2) | 991 | 18% |  |
| 08/21/15 | at Grants | 0.000 | 638 | W 10- 0 | Expected (+8) | 1291 | 77% | |
| 08/22/15 | Miyamura ! | 0.000 | 708 | W 8- 0 | Expected (+6) | 1197 | 74% | |
| 08/22/15 | at Aztec | 0.002 | 938 | W 3- 2 | Better (+2) | 972 | 41% | |
| 08/29/15 | at Ruidoso !! | 0.004 | 915 | W 4- 0 | Better (+4) | 1112 | 43% | |
| 09/04/15 | NMMI | 0.014 | 890 | W 4- 0 | Expected (+4) | 1080 | 52% | |
| 09/05/15 | Roswell | 0.022 | 1039 | L 1- 2 | Expected (0) | 903 | 33% | |
| 09/05/15 | Ruidoso | 0.023 | 915 | W 1- 0 | Better (+1) | 941 | 48% | |
| 09/08/15 | at Portales | 0.034 | 819 | W 3- 2 | Expected (+1) | 912 | 57% | |
| 09/12/15 | NMMI | 0.044 | 890 | W 7- 3 | Expected (+4) | 1080 | 52% | |
| 09/15/15 | Clovis | 0.087 | 1176 | L 0- 1 | Expected (+2) | 972 | 20% | |
| 09/21/15 | Portales | 0.104 | 819 | W 5- 0 | Expected (+4) | 1095 | 62% | |
| 09/24/15 | at Carlsbad | 0.226 | 1103 | L 0- 2 | Expected (0) | 904 | 23% | |
| 10/03/15 | Sandia Prep | 0.376 | 1057 | L 4- 7 | Expected (-1) | 811 | 30% | |
| 10/06/15 | at Artesia | 0.152 | 592 | W 9- 2 | Expected (+4) | 1105 | 80% | |
| 10/10/15 | Roswell | 0.702 | 1039 | L 2- 3 | Expected (0) | 903 | 33% | |
| 10/15/15 | Goddard ?? | 0.841 | 857 | L 0- 1 | Worse (-1) | 812 | 56% | |
| 10/17/15 | Artesia | 0.137 | 592 | W 9- 0 | Expected (+6) | 1194 | 83% | |
| 10/20/15 | at Roswell ? | 0.814 | 1039 | L 0- 3 | Expected (-1) | 822 | 29% | |
| 10/22/15 | at Goddard | 0.748 | 857 | W 3- 0 | Expected (+3) | 1032 | 51% | |
|
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Lovington actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 903, while
Lovington's "weighted playing strength" is 910
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.66 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/03/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 10/24/15)
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