51 16 3 Rank in State, Class, District |
857 6 Strength Momentum |
987 49.9(36) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) |
Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
08/25/15 | at Ruidoso | 0.003 | 915 | W 5- 2 | Better (+4) | 1046 | 39% | |
08/28/15 | Piedra Vista | 0.006 | 799 | W 2- 0 | Expected (+1) | 919 | 61% | |
08/29/15 | Roswell | 0.003 | 1039 | L 1- 6 | Expected (-3) | 687 | 30% | |
08/29/15 | at Los Alamos | 0.007 | 1257 | L 1- 2 | Expected (+3) | 1017 | 11% | |
09/01/15 | Clovis | 0.012 | 1176 | L 0- 1 | Expected (+2) | 957 | 18% | |
09/04/15 | Ruidoso | 0.017 | 915 | L 1- 3 | Expected (-2) | 777 | 45% | |
09/05/15 | Hatch | 0.013 | 987 | W 6- 1 | Better (+6) | 1165 | 35% | |
09/05/15 | at Carlsbad | 0.023 | 1103 | L 1- 2 | Expected (+2) | 940 | 21% | |
09/10/15 | Gadsden | 0.046 | 1154 | L 1- 2 | Expected (+2) | 946 | 21% | |
09/15/15 | at Carlsbad !! | 0.069 | 1103 | W 3- 0 | Better (+6) | 1140 | 21% | |
09/19/15 | at Robertson ! | 0.037 | 993 | W 7- 0 | Better (+9) | 1291 | 31% | |
10/01/15 | Portales | 0.309 | 819 | W 5- 1 | Expected (+3) | 1030 | 58% | |
10/06/15 | at Roswell | 0.599 | 1039 | T 3- 3 | Better (+2) | 958 | 26% | |
10/10/15 | at Artesia | 0.264 | 592 | W 6- 0 | Expected (+4) | 1039 | 78% | |
10/13/15 | NMMI ? | 0.790 | 890 | L 0- 1 | Expected (-1) | 814 | 48% | |
10/15/15 | at Lovington | 0.841 | 886 | W 1- 0 | Better (+1) | 931 | 44% | |
10/17/15 | Roswell | 0.885 | 1039 | L 1- 2 | Expected (+1) | 889 | 30% | |
10/20/15 | Artesia | 0.909 | 592 | W 2- 0 | Expected (-1) | 816 | 81% | |
10/22/15 | Lovington ?? | 0.748 | 886 | L 0- 3 | Expected (-3) | 712 | 49% |
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Goddard actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 987, while
Goddard's "weighted playing strength" is 878
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.66 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/03/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 10/24/15)
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