45 11 2 Rank in State, Class, District |
890 130 Strength Momentum |
886 48.8(37) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) |
Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
08/22/15 | Clovis | 0.001 | 1176 | L 0- 6 | Expected (-3) | 720 | 20% | |
08/25/15 | at Hatch | 0.002 | 987 | L 0- 5 | Expected (-4) | 696 | 34% | |
09/01/15 | at Artesia | 0.011 | 592 | W 6- 4 | Expected (-1) | 851 | 81% | |
09/04/15 | at Lovington ?? | 0.014 | 886 | L 0- 4 | Expected (-4) | 697 | 48% | |
09/05/15 | at Carlsbad | 0.023 | 1103 | L 4- 5 | Expected (+1) | 956 | 23% | |
09/05/15 | at Hatch !! | 0.011 | 987 | W 5- 0 | Better (+6) | 1201 | 34% | |
09/12/15 | at Lovington ? | 0.044 | 886 | L 3- 7 | Expected (-4) | 697 | 48% | |
09/15/15 | Artesia | 0.030 | 592 | W 9- 2 | Expected (+4) | 1088 | 83% | |
09/17/15 | at Clovis | 0.108 | 1176 | L 1- 3 | Expected (+1) | 943 | 18% | |
09/26/15 | Portales | 0.272 | 819 | W 6- 4 | Expected (+1) | 945 | 62% | |
10/03/15 | at East Mountain | 0.242 | 701 | W 6- 1 | Expected (+3) | 1057 | 72% | |
10/06/15 | Hatch | 0.452 | 987 | L 0- 3 | Expected (-2) | 779 | 39% | |
10/10/15 | at Ruidoso | 0.733 | 915 | T 4- 4 | Better (0) | 912 | 43% | |
10/13/15 | at Goddard | 0.790 | 857 | W 1- 0 | Expected (+1) | 933 | 52% | |
10/15/15 | East Mountain ! | 0.389 | 701 | W 8- 2 | Expected (+4) | 1090 | 75% | |
10/17/15 | at Portales | 0.916 | 819 | L 2- 3 | Worse (-2) | 814 | 57% | |
10/24/15 | Ruidoso | 0.997 | 915 | T 2- 2 | Better (0) | 893 | 49% |
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals NMMI actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 886, while
NMMI's "weighted playing strength" is 904
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.66 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/03/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 10/24/15)
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