Strength
Strength
|
66 22 4 Rank in State, Class, District |
592 -295 Strength Momentum |
1039 38.2(61) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) |
| Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/22/15 | Belen !! | 0.002 | 869 | W 2- 1 | Better (+4) | 771 | 23% | |
| 08/25/15 | at Hobbs | 0.000 | 1254 | L 1-11 | Expected (-3) | 413 | 2% | |
| 08/29/15 | Valencia | 0.001 | 1241 | L 1- 9 | Expected (-2) | 497 | 4% | |
| 09/01/15 | NMMI | 0.011 | 890 | L 4- 6 | Expected (+1) | 632 | 19% | |
| 09/04/15 | at Capital | 0.011 | 1241 | L 1- 6 | Expected (+2) | 674 | 2% | |
| 09/05/15 | at Santa Fe | 0.007 | 1162 | L 1- 8 | Expected (-1) | 530 | 4% | |
| 09/08/15 | at Carlsbad | 0.030 | 1103 | L 0- 3 | Expected (+2) | 707 | 6% | |
| 09/15/15 | at NMMI | 0.030 | 890 | L 2- 9 | Expected (-4) | 394 | 17% | |
| 09/17/15 | Alamogordo | 0.008 | 1055 | L 0-10 | Expected (-6) | 295 | 9% | |
| 09/22/15 | Carlsbad | 0.051 | 1103 | L 1- 8 | Expected (-2) | 482 | 7% | |
| 09/25/15 | at Sandia Prep | 0.025 | 1057 | L 0-10 | Expected (-5) | 314 | 7% | |
| 09/26/15 | St. Michael's | 0.141 | 870 | L 0- 5 | Expected (-2) | 469 | 21% | |
| 10/03/15 | at Moriarty | 0.287 | 904 | L 2- 7 | Expected (-2) | 505 | 16% | |
| 10/06/15 | Lovington | 0.152 | 886 | L 2- 9 | Expected (-4) | 373 | 20% | |
| 10/10/15 | Goddard | 0.264 | 857 | L 0- 6 | Expected (-4) | 411 | 22% | |
| 10/15/15 | at Roswell | 0.081 | 1039 | L 0-10 | Expected (-5) | 306 | 8% | |
| 10/17/15 | at Lovington ?? | 0.137 | 886 | L 0- 9 | Expected (-6) | 285 | 17% | |
| 10/20/15 | at Goddard | 0.909 | 857 | L 0- 2 | Expected (+1) | 634 | 19% | |
| 10/22/15 | Roswell ? | 0.065 | 1039 | L 1-11 | Expected (-6) | 287 | 10% | |
|
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Artesia actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 1039, while
Artesia's "weighted playing strength" is 508
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.66 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/03/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 10/24/15)
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