| Overall | 7W 12L 1T |
| District | 1W 4L 1T |
| Expected | 13: 1+ 6- |
":" = Games won or lost as expected,
"+" = Games won against stronger team,
"-" = Games lost against weaker team)
|
26 15 3 Rank in State, Class, District |
1103 258 Strength Momentum |
1047 47.4(42) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) | |
| Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/20/15 | Gadsden | 0.001 | 1154 | L 0- 2 | Expected (-2) | 1019 | 46% |  |
| 08/25/15 | at Roswell | 0.002 | 1039 | L 0- 5 | Worse (-5) | 828 | 56% | |
| 09/01/15 | Roswell | 0.012 | 1039 | L 2- 3 | Worse (-2) | 1012 | 61% | |
| 09/04/15 | Valencia | 0.019 | 1241 | L 1- 2 | Expected (0) | 1113 | 36% | |
| 09/05/15 | Goddard | 0.023 | 857 | W 2- 1 | Expected (-2) | 1021 | 79% | |
| 09/05/15 | NMMI | 0.023 | 890 | W 5- 4 | Expected (-1) | 1037 | 77% | |
| 09/08/15 | Artesia | 0.030 | 592 | W 3- 0 | Expected (-2) | 989 | 94% | |
| 09/11/15 | Onate | 0.048 | 1018 | L 1- 3 | Worse (-3) | 951 | 63% | |
| 09/12/15 | Las Cruces | 0.011 | 1261 | L 0- 8 | Expected (-7) | 763 | 34% | |
| 09/15/15 | Goddard ?? | 0.069 | 857 | L 0- 3 | Worse (-6) | 820 | 79% | |
| 09/18/15 | at West Mesa !! | 0.125 | 1119 | W 2- 1 | Better (+1) | 1171 | 45% | |
| 09/19/15 | at Rio Grande ? | 0.136 | 936 | L 0- 2 | Worse (-3) | 929 | 68% | |
| 09/22/15 | at Artesia | 0.051 | 592 | W 8- 1 | Expected (+2) | 1214 | 93% | |
| 09/24/15 | Lovington | 0.226 | 886 | W 2- 0 | Expected (0) | 1085 | 77% | |
| 09/26/15 | at Clovis | 0.168 | 1176 | L 0- 5 | Expected (-4) | 897 | 38% | |
| 09/29/15 | at Alamogordo | 0.373 | 1055 | T 1- 1 | Worse (0) | 1089 | 54% | |
| 10/10/15 | Hobbs | 0.702 | 1254 | L 1- 2 | Expected (0) | 1119 | 34% | |
| 10/17/15 | Clovis | 0.885 | 1176 | L 1- 2 | Expected (0) | 1080 | 43% | |
| 10/20/15 | Alamogordo ! | 0.693 | 1055 | W 4- 0 | Expected (+3) | 1271 | 58% | |
| 10/24/15 | at Hobbs | 0.710 | 1254 | L 0- 4 | Expected (-2) | 987 | 30% | |
|
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Carlsbad actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 1047, while
Carlsbad's "weighted playing strength" is 1087
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.66 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/03/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 10/24/15)
Go back to ratings for Boys Varsity Girls Varsity Main Page