Strength
Strength
|
29 18 4 Rank in State, Class, District |
1055 204 Strength Momentum |
1176 48.1(39) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) |
| Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/18/15 | Mayfield ?? | 0.001 | 1051 | L 0- 1 | Worse (-1) | 994 | 53% | |
| 08/21/15 | at Deming | 0.001 | 831 | W 2- 0 | Expected (0) | 1053 | 73% | |
| 08/25/15 | Centennial | 0.003 | 1281 | L 3- 5 | Expected (0) | 1058 | 28% | |
| 08/28/15 | Las Cruces !! | 0.006 | 1261 | W 2- 1 | Better (+3) | 1199 | 29% | |
| 08/29/15 | Centennial | 0.007 | 1281 | L 1- 2 | Expected (+1) | 1108 | 28% | |
| 09/01/15 | Las Cruces | 0.002 | 1261 | L 0- 8 | Expected (-6) | 739 | 29% | |
| 09/03/15 | Gadsden | 0.016 | 1154 | L 1- 2 | Expected (0) | 1045 | 40% | |
| 09/08/15 | at Santa Teresa | 0.036 | 1197 | L 1- 2 | Expected (+1) | 1086 | 32% | |
| 09/12/15 | at Rio Grande | 0.047 | 936 | W 6- 3 | Expected (+2) | 1156 | 63% | |
| 09/17/15 | at Artesia | 0.008 | 592 | W 10- 0 | Expected (+6) | 1353 | 91% | |
| 09/19/15 | Deming | 0.033 | 831 | W 8- 0 | Expected (+6) | 1343 | 76% | |
| 09/29/15 | Carlsbad | 0.373 | 1103 | T 1- 1 | Better (0) | 1070 | 46% | |
| 10/03/15 | at Hobbs | 0.494 | 1254 | L 0- 1 | Expected (+1) | 1115 | 25% | |
| 10/10/15 | at Clovis ! | 0.639 | 1176 | W 4- 2 | Better (+3) | 1226 | 33% | |
| 10/17/15 | Hobbs | 0.885 | 1254 | L 0- 1 | Expected (+1) | 1095 | 29% | |
| 10/20/15 | at Carlsbad ? | 0.693 | 1103 | L 0- 4 | Expected (-3) | 888 | 42% | |
| 10/24/15 | Clovis | 0.870 | 1176 | L 0- 2 | Expected (-1) | 1006 | 37% | |
|
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Alamogordo actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 1176, while
Alamogordo's "weighted playing strength" is 1065
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.66 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/03/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 10/24/15)
Go back to ratings for Boys Varsity Girls Varsity Main Page