19 10 2 Rank in State, Class, District |
1176 -61 Strength Momentum |
1047 58.0(16) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) |
Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
08/18/15 | Lovington | 0.001 | 886 | W 2- 1 | Expected (-2) | 1072 | 82% | |
08/22/15 | at NMMI | 0.001 | 890 | W 6- 0 | Expected (+3) | 1347 | 80% | |
08/25/15 | at Portales | 0.002 | 819 | W 5- 0 | Expected (+2) | 1260 | 85% | |
08/28/15 | Piedra Vista | 0.002 | 799 | W 7- 0 | Expected (+3) | 1335 | 88% | |
08/28/15 | at Los Alamos | 0.006 | 1257 | L 1- 2 | Expected (0) | 1176 | 37% | |
08/29/15 | Farmington | 0.007 | 1173 | W 2- 1 | Expected (+1) | 1215 | 53% | |
09/01/15 | at Goddard | 0.012 | 857 | W 1- 0 | Expected (-2) | 1077 | 82% | |
09/03/15 | Portales | 0.002 | 819 | W 10- 0 | Expected (+6) | 1508 | 87% | |
09/08/15 | Roswell ?? | 0.034 | 1039 | L 1- 2 | Worse (-3) | 1048 | 69% | |
09/11/15 | at Cibola | 0.051 | 1414 | L 1- 3 | Expected (+1) | 1205 | 22% | |
09/12/15 | at Highland | 0.054 | 845 | W 3- 1 | Expected (-1) | 1121 | 83% | |
09/15/15 | at Lovington | 0.087 | 886 | W 1- 0 | Expected (-2) | 1091 | 80% | |
09/17/15 | NMMI | 0.108 | 890 | W 3- 1 | Expected (-1) | 1124 | 82% | |
09/26/15 | Carlsbad ! | 0.168 | 1103 | W 5- 0 | Expected (+4) | 1383 | 62% | |
09/29/15 | at Hobbs !! | 0.326 | 1254 | W 3- 1 | Better (+3) | 1325 | 38% | |
10/02/15 | Sandia Prep | 0.332 | 1057 | W 5- 1 | Expected (+3) | 1308 | 68% | |
10/10/15 | Alamogordo ? | 0.639 | 1055 | L 2- 4 | Worse (-3) | 1006 | 67% | |
10/17/15 | at Carlsbad | 0.885 | 1103 | W 2- 1 | Expected (0) | 1199 | 57% | |
10/20/15 | Hobbs | 0.932 | 1254 | L 0- 1 | Expected (0) | 1156 | 43% | |
10/24/15 | at Alamogordo | 0.870 | 1055 | W 2- 0 | Expected (+1) | 1226 | 63% |
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Clovis actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 1047, while
Clovis's "weighted playing strength" is 1186
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.66 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/03/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 10/24/15)
Go back to ratings for Boys Varsity Girls Varsity Main Page