| Overall | 12W 5L 1T |
| District | 4W 3L 1T |
| Expected | 12: 1+ 5- |
":" = Games won or lost as expected,
"+" = Games won against stronger team,
"-" = Games lost against weaker team)
|
1 1 1 Rank in State, Class, District |
1414 165 Strength Momentum |
1197 58.9(11) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) | |
| Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/24/15 | Eldorado ? | 0.003 | 1070 | L 0- 1 | Worse (-5) | 1183 | 86% |  |
| 08/26/15 | West Mesa | 0.004 | 1119 | W 3- 0 | Expected (0) | 1408 | 82% | |
| 08/29/15 | Manzano | 0.007 | 886 | W 3- 1 | Expected (-3) | 1241 | 95% | |
| 09/01/15 | at Atrisco Heritage | 0.011 | 1338 | W 3- 1 | Expected (+1) | 1486 | 57% | |
| 09/03/15 | Sandia | 0.017 | 1114 | W 2- 1 | Expected (-2) | 1304 | 83% | |
| 09/08/15 | Sandia Prep ?? | 0.034 | 1057 | L 1- 2 | Worse (-5) | 1176 | 87% | |
| 09/11/15 | Clovis | 0.051 | 1176 | W 3- 1 | Expected (-1) | 1386 | 78% | |
| 09/15/15 | at La Cueva | 0.087 | 1218 | W 1- 0 | Expected (-1) | 1376 | 71% | |
| 09/17/15 | Rio Grande | 0.051 | 936 | W 6- 0 | Expected (+1) | 1470 | 93% | |
| 09/19/15 | Albuquerque | 0.144 | 1399 | W 2- 1 | Expected (+1) | 1447 | 54% | |
| 09/23/15 | at Volcano Vista | 0.218 | 1371 | L 2- 3 | Worse (-1) | 1352 | 53% | |
| 09/30/15 | Rio Rancho | 0.386 | 1418 | L 0- 1 | Worse (-1) | 1356 | 52% | |
| 10/03/15 | at Cleveland | 0.494 | 1414 | L 0- 1 | Expected (-1) | 1373 | 48% | |
| 10/07/15 | Santa Fe | 0.365 | 1162 | W 5- 0 | Expected (+2) | 1531 | 79% | |
| 10/10/15 | Volcano Vista ! | 0.685 | 1371 | W 2- 0 | Expected (+1) | 1483 | 58% | |
| 10/17/15 | at Rio Rancho !! | 0.885 | 1418 | W 2- 1 | Better (+1) | 1476 | 48% | |
| 10/21/15 | Cleveland | 0.983 | 1414 | T 1- 1 | Worse (0) | 1404 | 53% | |
| 10/23/15 | at Santa Fe | 0.954 | 1162 | W 2- 1 | Expected (-1) | 1348 | 76% | |
|
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Cibola actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 1197, while
Cibola's "weighted playing strength" is 1415
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.66 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/03/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 10/24/15)
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